Carabobo vs UCV: match statistics
Carabobo vs UCV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carabobo play UCV in Primera División (Venezuela). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 23:00. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Carabobo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. UCV: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carabobo scores 1.75 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. UCV scores 1.68 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carabobo 60%, UCV 68%. Over 2.5: Carabobo 40%, UCV 63%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Carabobo has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.29. Carabobo: 15.7 shots per match, UCV: 11.7.
Match halves
Carabobo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.20. UCV: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Carabobo: 46-60 (12 goals). UCV: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 1-2-1. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 75%.
Match description
Carabobo concedes only 0.2 goals per match at home on average and keeps a clean sheet in 80% of home games, with home xG of 1.79, indicating a solid defense and quality of created chances. UCV scores 2.6 goals per away match on average with a high shot conversion rate of 19%, but concedes 1.4 goals and has an xG against of 1.55 on the road, suggesting open, goal-heavy games. Hosts dominate possession (58% vs 44%) and average more shots (16.8 vs 14), however Carabobo’s low conversion of 8% versus UCV’s 19% and the fact that the hosts failed to score in 40% of home matches limit their chances of a convincing win. In the last 5 matches Carabobo scored 10 and conceded 5, while UCV scored 7 and conceded 8, with points per game in the last 5 at 1.6 for Carabobo and 1.4 for UCV, giving the hosts a slight form advantage. Considering Carabobo’s very low home concessions (0.2) and UCV’s high effectiveness and goals scored away (2.6), I expect a balanced match with a higher probability of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carabobo | UCV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carabobo is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Carabobo · 1 pts / match - UCV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carabobo is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Carabobo · 1.47 goals / match - UCV
Carabobo scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while UCV keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
UCV scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Carabobo keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Carabobo
Over / Under — UCV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carabobo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
UCV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carabobo
UCV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Carabobo | Liga | UCV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.49 | ▲ 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 53% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 43% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 28% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Carabobo 1 - 2 - 1 UCV. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carabobo vs UCV?
The Primera División match finished Carabobo 4:2 UCV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carabobo and UCV?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Carabobo won 1, UCV won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carabobo vs UCV?
Carabobo score 1.75 goals per game on average and UCV 1.68. The Primera División average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Carabobo's matches and 68% of UCV's.
What form are Carabobo and UCV in?
Over the last 5 games Carabobo have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and UCV 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carabobo vs UCV?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carabobo vs UCV: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.