Carabobo vs Zamora: match statistics

Carabobo are very strong at home: they have won 62% of their home matches, remain unbeaten there, and average 1.85 goals per game. Zamora win just 22% of their away fixtures, lose 56% of them, and average only 0.89 goals scored. The hosts create significantly more chances, averaging 16.62 shots and 6 on target compared with 11.33 and 3.78 respectively for the visitors, which is also reflected in the xG figures of 1.81 versus Zamora’s 1.17. Carabobo’s defence concedes just 0.62 goals per home match and keeps a clean sheet in 62% of their outings, while Zamora have conceded 10 goals in their last five matches. The hosts’ superior current form, including 3 wins in their last 5 matches, further supports a home victory.

The BTTS - No pick is slightly stronger, as Carabobo have conceded only 3 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 per game, while BTTS occurred in just 20% of those fixtures. Zamora have recently been scoring 1.8 goals per match, but their season-long average is only 0.89 goals scored, and they failed to score in 33% of their matches. Carabobo also struggle with attacking consistency, failing to score in 38% of their games, despite Zamora conceding an average of 1.56 goals per match. The season BTTS figures—63% for Carabobo and 44% for Zamora—are divergent, while the hosts’ currently very solid defensive record increases the likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

Seasonal data clearly points toward a limited number of goals: 87% of Carabobo’s matches and 89% of Zamora’s games finished with under 3.5 goals. Carabobo average 1.13 goals scored per match, while Zamora average 0.89, compared with a league average of 2.52 goals per game. Zamora’s last five matches were more open, averaging 3.8 goals, with 60% finishing Over 2.5, but Carabobo conceded only 0.6 goals per match over the same period. Projected xG of 1.45 for the hosts and 1.05 for the visitors points to a scenario of around 2.50 goals rather than a game with at least four goals. Therefore, Under 3.5 is the strongest pick, supported by both seasonal frequency and Carabobo’s solid defensive form.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time, followed by Carabobo turning the match in their favour. Both teams frequently draw after the first half: this applies to 50% of Carabobo’s matches and 56% of Zamora’s, while their average number of goals before the break is just 1.38 and 1.11 respectively. Carabobo nevertheless have the clearer potential to secure the final victory, averaging 1.13 goals and 1.50 points per match, whereas Zamora lose 56% of their matches and concede an average of 1.56 goals. The second half is particularly significant: the hosts concede just 0.25 goals per match during this period and win it in 50% of cases, while Zamora lose the second half in 44% of matches and allow their opponents to score an average of 0.78 goals. In their last five matches, Carabobo have won three times and conceded only 0.6 goals per game, further supporting the HT/FT prediction of a draw at half-time and a home win at the final whistle.