Venezuela - Primera DivisiónData current as of 16 October 2026

Caracas vs UCV: match statistics

Caracas crest
Caracas
1 : 2half-time 1:2
UCV crest
UCV
120%(0.00)
X25%(0.00)
255%(0.00)

UCV is displaying significantly better form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive 100% away win record this season. The visiting team scores an average of 3 goals per away game with an excellent 23% conversion rate and keeps a clean sheet in every away fixture. Caracas, meanwhile, has not won any home matches, drawing both of their home games, and their recent form (0.6 points per game) is considerably weaker than that of the visitors (2.6 points). xG statistics also favor UCV (1.38 vs 1.0), confirming the qualitative superiority of the away side. Considering all these factors, a UCV victory appears to be the most probable outcome of this match.

Caracas vs UCV: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Caracas played UCV in Primera División (Venezuela). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Caracas: 0-2-1, 0.67 points/match. UCV: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Caracas scores 1.00 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. UCV scores 2.67 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Caracas 67%, UCV 33%. Over 2.5: Caracas 33%, UCV 67%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

UCV has higher xG: 1.60 vs 0.96. Caracas: 8.3 shots per match, UCV: 16.7.

Match halves

Caracas: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33. UCV: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.33.

Goals by minute

Caracas: 31-45+ (2 goals). UCV: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

UCV is displaying significantly better form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive 100% away win record this season. The visiting team scores an average of 3 goals per away game with an excellent 23% conversion rate and keeps a clean sheet in every away fixture. Caracas, meanwhile, has not won any home matches, drawing both of their home games, and their recent form (0.6 points per game) is considerably weaker than that of the visitors (2.6 points). xG statistics also favor UCV (1.38 vs 1.0), confirming the qualitative superiority of the away side. Considering all these factors, a UCV victory appears to be the most probable outcome of this match.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

65Possession (%)35
CaracasUCV
19Shots16
CaracasUCV
5Shots on target4
CaracasUCV
1.91xG1.46
CaracasUCV
4Corners2
CaracasUCV
50Dangerous attacks24
CaracasUCV
10Fouls12
CaracasUCV
1Cards2
CaracasUCV

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match2.67
CaracasUCV
1.67Goals conceded / match0.67
CaracasUCV
48%Average possession49%
CaracasUCV
2.67Shots on target / match6
CaracasUCV

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.33Shots per match16.67
CaracasUCV
2.67Shots on target6
CaracasUCV
12%Shot conversion16%
CaracasUCV
48%Possession49%
CaracasUCV
0.96xG for1.6
CaracasUCV
1.15xG against0.95
CaracasUCV

Shooting quality

Caracas: BalancedUCV: Attacking
CaracasUCV
Accuracy (shots on target)32%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

UCV is 348% better for: last-5 form.

0.67 pts / match - Caracas · 3 pts / match - UCV

Caracas
DDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W67% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-1
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-1
0.67 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.7xG: 0.96Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 33%
UCV
WWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.7Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 0.95BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 67%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

UCV is 167% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Caracas · 2.67 goals / match - UCV

UCV is 149% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Caracas · 0.67 goals / match - UCV

Caracas scoring profile: mixed

Caracas scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while UCV keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

UCV scoring profile: very strong

UCV scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Caracas keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

3Goals scored (season)8
CaracasUCV
5Goals conceded (season)2
CaracasUCV
2.67Average goals in match3.33
CaracasUCV
3Goals scored (last 5)8
CaracasUCV
5Goals conceded (last 5)2
CaracasUCV

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal100%
CaracasUCV
33%2 goals100%
CaracasUCV
0%3 goals67%
CaracasUCV
0%4 goals0%
CaracasUCV

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal33%
CaracasUCV
67%2 goals33%
CaracasUCV
0%3 goals0%
CaracasUCV
0%4 goals0%
CaracasUCV

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

67%BTTS at half-time33%
CaracasUCV
33%BTTS in both halves33%
CaracasUCV
33%Scored in both halves100%
CaracasUCV

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
CaracasUCV
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
CaracasUCV
67%BTTS - last 533%
CaracasUCV

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
CaracasUCV
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
CaracasUCV
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CaracasUCV

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
CaracasUCV
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
CaracasUCV
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
CaracasUCV

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

UCV is 248% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Caracas · 2.33 pts / match - UCV

Caracas - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing
UCV - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)2.33
CaracasUCV
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.33
CaracasUCV
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
CaracasUCV
1.67Average goals (1st half)1.67
CaracasUCV
0%Clean sheet before half-time67%
CaracasUCV
33%No goal before half-time0%
CaracasUCV

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per match (2nd half)3
CaracasUCV
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
CaracasUCV
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
CaracasUCV
1Average goals (2nd half)1.67
CaracasUCV
33%Clean sheet after half-time67%
CaracasUCV
67%No goal after half-time0%
CaracasUCV

Caracas - second-half results

0% W67% D33% L
2
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

UCV - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding149%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Caracas - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.670.67
Goals scored / match0.70.3
Goals conceded / match1.00.7
Average goals in match1.71.0
1 goal100%67%
2 goals67%33%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%33%
No goal33%67%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 67% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 67% - Half-time goals total: 2
UCV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.333.00
Goals scored / match1.31.3
Goals conceded / match0.30.3
Average goals in match1.71.7
1 goal100%100%
2 goals67%33%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 67% leading - 33% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Caracas
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

UCV
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+67%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Caracas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

UCV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
228%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
49%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

CaracasLigaUCV
Average goals in match▲ 2.672.54▲ 3.33
Both teams scored▲ 67%54%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%46%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 0%27%▲ 67%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%75%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%79%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Jesús Valenzuela SáezMatches officiated: 15
5.07Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 240%Home wins40%Draws20%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Caracas 1 - 0 - 1 UCV. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Caracas FC
1 : 5
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
1 : 3
Caracas FC

FAQ

What was the result of Caracas vs UCV?

The Primera División match finished Caracas 1:2 UCV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Caracas and UCV?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Caracas won 1, UCV won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Caracas vs UCV?

Caracas score 1.00 goals per game on average and UCV 2.67. The Primera División average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Caracas's matches and 33% of UCV's.

What form are Caracas and UCV in?

Over the last 5 games Caracas have a 0-2-1 record (0.67 points per game) and UCV 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caracas vs UCV?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Caracas vs UCV: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.