England - ChampionshipCardiff City StadiumData current as of 21 October 2026

Cardiff City vs Birmingham City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cardiff City vs Birmingham City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cardiff City play Birmingham City in Championship (England). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Cardiff City Stadium.

Current form

Cardiff City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Birmingham City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cardiff City scores 1.64 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. Birmingham City scores 1.82 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cardiff City 82%, Birmingham City 64%. Over 2.5: Cardiff City 64%, Birmingham City 73%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.58. Cardiff City: 17.0 shots per match, Birmingham City: 13.7.

Match halves

Cardiff City: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.55. Birmingham City: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.91.

Goals by minute

Cardiff City: 31-45+ (6 goals). Birmingham City: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.00)
(3.30)
(2.37)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cardiff CityBirmingham City
1.64Goals scored / match1.82
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
1.55Goals conceded / match1
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
62%Average possession51%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
6.09Shots on target / match4.82
Cardiff CityBirmingham City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17Shots per match13.73
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
6.09Shots on target4.82
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
9.6%Shot conversion13.2%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
62%Possession51%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
1.95xG for1.58
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
1.63xG against1.3
Cardiff CityBirmingham City

Shooting quality

Cardiff City: DominantBirmingham City: Efficient finishing
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
Accuracy (shots on target)36%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Birmingham City is 86% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Cardiff City · 2.6 pts / match - Birmingham City

Cardiff City
LWLWD
Season result split
18% W45% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-5-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-0
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Birmingham City
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
45% W45% D9% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-1
1.82 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Birmingham City is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

1.64 goals / match - Cardiff City · 1.82 goals / match - Birmingham City

Birmingham City is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.55 goals / match - Cardiff City · 1 goals / match - Birmingham City

Cardiff City scoring profile: very strong

Cardiff City scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

Birmingham City scoring profile: very strong

Birmingham City scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 11 matches).

18Goals scored (season)20
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
17Goals conceded (season)11
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
3.18Average goals in match2.82
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
11Goals scored (last 5)12
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
Cardiff CityBirmingham City

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal91%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
45%2 goals64%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
18%3 goals18%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
9%4 goals9%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal64%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
55%2 goals36%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
0%3 goals0%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
0%4 goals0%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time27%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
0%BTTS in both halves9%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
18%Scored in both halves45%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City

BTTS and goal count

64%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
80%BTTS - last 540%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

91%Min. 1 goal before half-time91%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
55%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
36%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Birmingham City is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Cardiff City · 1.45 pts / match - Birmingham City

Cardiff City - half-time state
36% leading18% draw45% trailing
Birmingham City - half-time state
36% leading36% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.45
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
1.09Goals scored (1st half)0.91
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
0.91Goals conceded (1st half)0.73
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
2Average goals (1st half)1.64
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
27%Clean sheet before half-time45%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
55%No goal before half-time36%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points per match (2nd half)2.09
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.91
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)0.27
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.18
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
45%Clean sheet after half-time73%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City
45%No goal after half-time27%
Cardiff CityBirmingham City

Cardiff City - second-half results

36% W27% D36% L
14
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Birmingham City - second-half results

55% W45% D0% L
16
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cardiff City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match1.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match2.21.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+5-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8
Birmingham City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.60
Goals scored / match1.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cardiff City
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
3
4
16-30
6
3
31-45
1
4
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Birmingham City
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
7
6
31-45
4
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cardiff City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Birmingham City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.78
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Cardiff CityLigaBirmingham City
Average goals in match▲ 3.182.88• 2.82
Both teams scored▲ 82%64%• 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 64%61%▲ 73%
Clean sheets▼ 0%21%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▲ 91%77%▲ 91%
Goal after half-time▲ 91%79%▼ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Cardiff City and Birmingham City play?

Cardiff City face Birmingham City on 24 October 2026 in Championship at Cardiff City Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff City vs Birmingham City?

Cardiff City score 1.64 goals per game on average and Birmingham City 1.82. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Cardiff City's matches and 64% of Birmingham City's.

What form are Cardiff City and Birmingham City in?

Over the last 5 games Cardiff City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Birmingham City 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff City vs Birmingham City?

The statistical background for Cardiff City vs Birmingham City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.