Cardiff City vs Exeter City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cardiff City played Exeter City in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 26 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Cardiff City: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Exeter City: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cardiff City scores 1.85 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Exeter City scores 1.05 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cardiff City 50%, Exeter City 35%. Over 2.5: Cardiff City 60%, Exeter City 35%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.16. Cardiff City: 14.3 shots per match, Exeter City: 9.6.

Match halves

Cardiff City: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.35. Exeter City: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Cardiff City: 76-90+ (11 goals). Exeter City: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

60Possession (%)40
Cardiff CityExeter City
13Shots10
Cardiff CityExeter City
4Shots on target1
Cardiff CityExeter City
1.61xG0.94
Cardiff CityExeter City
5Corners4
Cardiff CityExeter City
70Dangerous attacks33
Cardiff CityExeter City
7Fouls12
Cardiff CityExeter City
3Cards1
Cardiff CityExeter City

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cardiff CityExeter City
1.85Goals scored / match1.05
Cardiff CityExeter City
1.1Goals conceded / match1
Cardiff CityExeter City
61%Average possession51%
Cardiff CityExeter City
5.2Shots on target / match3.3
Cardiff CityExeter City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.35Shots per match9.55
Cardiff CityExeter City
5.2Shots on target3.3
Cardiff CityExeter City
12.9%Shot conversion11%
Cardiff CityExeter City
61%Possession51%
Cardiff CityExeter City
1.67xG for1.16
Cardiff CityExeter City
1.45xG against1.38
Cardiff CityExeter City

Shooting quality

Cardiff City: DominantExeter City: Balanced
Cardiff CityExeter City
Accuracy (shots on target)36%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cardiff City is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Cardiff City · 1.2 pts / match - Exeter City

Cardiff City
WWWWL
Season result split
65% W10% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-2-5
2.05 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-0-2
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Exeter City
LLWLW
Season result split
35% W10% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-11
1.15 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-8
Last 5 away
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cardiff City is 76% better for: goals scored per match.

1.85 goals / match - Cardiff City · 1.05 goals / match - Exeter City

Exeter City is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.1 goals / match - Cardiff City · 1 goals / match - Exeter City

Cardiff City scoring profile: very strong

Cardiff City scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).

Exeter City scoring profile: strong

Exeter City scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).

37Goals scored (season)21
Cardiff CityExeter City
22Goals conceded (season)20
Cardiff CityExeter City
2.95Average goals in match2.05
Cardiff CityExeter City
12Goals scored (last 5)6
Cardiff CityExeter City
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
Cardiff CityExeter City

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal65%
Cardiff CityExeter City
50%2 goals20%
Cardiff CityExeter City
35%3 goals15%
Cardiff CityExeter City
15%4 goals5%
Cardiff CityExeter City

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal70%
Cardiff CityExeter City
30%2 goals30%
Cardiff CityExeter City
20%3 goals0%
Cardiff CityExeter City
0%4 goals0%
Cardiff CityExeter City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time15%
Cardiff CityExeter City
10%BTTS in both halves0%
Cardiff CityExeter City
40%Scored in both halves20%
Cardiff CityExeter City

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Cardiff CityExeter City
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Cardiff CityExeter City
60%BTTS - last 540%
Cardiff CityExeter City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Cardiff CityExeter City
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Cardiff CityExeter City
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Cardiff CityExeter City

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
Cardiff CityExeter City
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
Cardiff CityExeter City
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Cardiff CityExeter City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cardiff City is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.35 pts / match - Cardiff City · 1.2 pts / match - Exeter City

Cardiff City - half-time state
30% leading45% draw25% trailing
Exeter City - half-time state
30% leading30% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per match (1st half)1.2
Cardiff CityExeter City
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.45
Cardiff CityExeter City
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
Cardiff CityExeter City
0.95Average goals (1st half)1.1
Cardiff CityExeter City
65%Clean sheet before half-time45%
Cardiff CityExeter City
60%No goal before half-time60%
Cardiff CityExeter City

After half-time (2nd half)

2.15Points per match (2nd half)1.6
Cardiff CityExeter City
1.35Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Cardiff CityExeter City
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.35
Cardiff CityExeter City
2Average goals (2nd half)0.95
Cardiff CityExeter City
55%Clean sheet after half-time75%
Cardiff CityExeter City
15%No goal after half-time55%
Cardiff CityExeter City

Cardiff City - second-half results

65% W20% D15% L
27
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding217%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Exeter City - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
24
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cardiff City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match0.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Exeter City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cardiff City
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
5
5
31-45
10
5
46-60
6
4
61-75
11
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Exeter City
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
3
6
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
0
46-60
4
1
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cardiff City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Exeter City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Cardiff CityLigaExeter City
Average goals in match 2.952.52 2.05
Both teams scored 50%51% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%49% 35%
Clean sheets 40%27% 30%
Goal before half-time 65%68% 80%
Goal after half-time 95%82% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Cardiff CityGoalAlexander RobertsonAssist: Dylan Lawlor
  2. Cardiff CityYellow cardIsaak Davies
  3. Cardiff CitySubstitutionOn: Chris WillockOff: Isaak Davies
  4. Exeter CitySubstitutionOn: Reece ColeOff: Akeel Higgins
  5. Exeter CityYellow cardLiam Oakes
  6. Cardiff CityYellow cardJoel Bagan
  7. Cardiff CityYellow cardCalum Chambers
  8. Cardiff CitySubstitutionOn: William FishOff: Cian Ashford

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Tom ReevesMatches officiated: 12
2.67Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 233%Home wins25%Draws42%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Cardiff City vs Exeter City?

The EFL League One match finished Cardiff City 1:0 Exeter City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff City vs Exeter City?

Cardiff City score 1.85 goals per game on average and Exeter City 1.05. The EFL League One average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Cardiff City's matches and 35% of Exeter City's.

What form are Cardiff City and Exeter City in?

Over the last 5 games Cardiff City have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Exeter City 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff City vs Exeter City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cardiff City vs Exeter City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.