Cardiff City vs Luton Town: match statistics
Cardiff City displays impressive home form with an 80% win rate and only 13% defeats at their own stadium. The hosts are the league leaders, scoring an average of 2.33 goals per match at home while conceding only 1.07, resulting in a +19 goal difference. Luton Town shows significant problems in away matches – as many as 57% defeats, only 29% wins, and a negative goal difference of -5. Additionally, the visitors have failed to score in 36% of away matches, which, given Cardiff's strong defense (40% clean sheets), significantly limits their chances. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts – Cardiff averages 2.2 points per match, while Luton only 1.4. All key indicators, including possession advantage, shot accuracy, and xG, point to a clear advantage for Cardiff City in this encounter.
Cardiff City vs Luton Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cardiff City played Luton Town in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Cardiff City: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Luton Town: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cardiff City scores 1.83 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Luton Town scores 1.33 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cardiff City 53%, Luton Town 40%. Over 2.5: Cardiff City 57%, Luton Town 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.48. Cardiff City: 14.4 shots per match, Luton Town: 12.6.
Match halves
Cardiff City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.20. Luton Town: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Cardiff City: 46-60 (13 goals). Luton Town: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cardiff City displays impressive home form with an 80% win rate and only 13% defeats at their own stadium. The hosts are the league leaders, scoring an average of 2.33 goals per match at home while conceding only 1.07, resulting in a +19 goal difference. Luton Town shows significant problems in away matches – as many as 57% defeats, only 29% wins, and a negative goal difference of -5. Additionally, the visitors have failed to score in 36% of away matches, which, given Cardiff's strong defense (40% clean sheets), significantly limits their chances. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts – Cardiff averages 2.2 points per match, while Luton only 1.4. All key indicators, including possession advantage, shot accuracy, and xG, point to a clear advantage for Cardiff City in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cardiff City | Luton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cardiff City is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Cardiff City · 1.4 pts / match - Luton Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff City is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Cardiff City · 1.33 goals / match - Luton Town
Cardiff City is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Cardiff City · 1.17 goals / match - Luton Town
Cardiff City scores in 90% of matches (27 of 30 matches), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
Luton Town scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cardiff City
Over / Under - Luton Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cardiff City is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Cardiff City · 1.23 pts / match - Luton Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cardiff City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Luton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cardiff City
Luton Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Cardiff City | Liga | Luton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.58 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 27% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cardiff City 1 - 0 - 0 Luton Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cardiff City vs Luton Town?
The EFL League One match finished Cardiff City 3:1 Luton Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff City vs Luton Town?
Cardiff City score 1.83 goals per game on average and Luton Town 1.33. The EFL League One average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Cardiff City's matches and 40% of Luton Town's.
What form are Cardiff City and Luton Town in?
Over the last 5 games Cardiff City have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Luton Town 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff City vs Luton Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cardiff City vs Luton Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.