Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town: match statistics
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Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cardiff MU play Caernarfon Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch.
Current form
Cardiff MU: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Caernarfon Town: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cardiff MU scores 2.11 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Caernarfon Town scores 3.30 and concedes 1.10. League average: 3.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cardiff MU 33%, Caernarfon Town 60%. Over 2.5: Cardiff MU 56%, Caernarfon Town 80%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff MU has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.68. Cardiff MU: 13.8 shots per match, Caernarfon Town: 14.5.
Match halves
Cardiff MU: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.22. Caernarfon Town: half-time lead 70%, second-half goals 1.80.
Goals by minute
Cardiff MU: 61-75 (5 goals). Caernarfon Town: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cardiff MU | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caernarfon Town is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Cardiff MU · 2 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
2.11 goals / match - Cardiff MU · 3.3 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Cardiff MU · 1.1 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Cardiff MU scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
Caernarfon Town scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cardiff MU
Over / Under - Caernarfon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caernarfon Town is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / match - Cardiff MU · 2.1 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cardiff MU - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 44%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 70% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +10 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cardiff MU
Caernarfon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Cardiff MU | Liga | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.33 | 3.34 | ▲ 4.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 52% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 61% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 25% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Cardiff MU 1 - 1 - 0 Caernarfon Town. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town play?
Cardiff MU face Caernarfon Town on 26 September 2026 in Welsh Premier League at Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cardiff MU won 1, Caernarfon Town won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town?
Cardiff MU score 2.11 goals per game on average and Caernarfon Town 3.30. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Cardiff MU's matches and 60% of Caernarfon Town's.
What form are Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Cardiff MU have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Caernarfon Town 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town?
The statistical background for Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.