Cardiff MU vs Cambrian & Clydach: match statistics

Cardiff MU sit 7th, one place above Cambrian & Clydach, and have won 3 of their 5 matches so far, while the visitors have recorded 2 victories. At home, the hosts average 3 goals per match from 6.33 shots on target, comfortably outperforming their opponents’ away averages of 1.33 goals and 4.67 shots on target. Cardiff are also significantly more clinical in front of goal, converting 23% of their shots compared with 13% for Cambrian & Clydach. However, the hosts’ advantage is weakened by a defence that concedes an average of 2 goals at home and allows chances worth 2.04 xG, giving the visitors a realistic chance of scoring. Nevertheless, Cardiff have won 67% of their home matches, while Cambrian & Clydach have lost 67% of their away fixtures, which points to a home victory.

The signal for BTTS - No is clear, as Cardiff MU have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, while Cambrian & Clydach have failed to score in 33% of games. The seasonal BTTS rate stands at just 50% for the hosts and 33% for the visitors, compared with the league average of 45%, while Cardiff’s figure has dropped to only 20% across their last five matches. The hosts concede an average of 0.5 goals per game, contrasting with the visitors’ average of 1.33 goals scored and increasing the likelihood that the away side will fail to find the net. Cardiff also create significantly more chances, averaging 19.5 shots and 9 on target compared with 10 and 4.67 for their opponents, making a result with goals primarily from one team more likely than both teams scoring.

Cardiff MU creates a high volume of chances relative to its finishing efficiency so far: it averages 19.5 shots, including 9.0 on target, while its xG stands at 2.45. Cambrian & Clydach concedes an average of 1.67 goals per match and keeps a clean sheet in only 33% of games, giving the hosts a clear chance of scoring at least once. At the same time, Cardiff concedes just 0.50 goals per game on average this season and has a 50% clean-sheet rate, limiting the visitors’ projection to around 1.00 goal. In their last five matches, both teams had at least three goals in 60% of games, but neither has recorded a match with at least four goals this season. The projected total of 2.55 goals points towards Under 3.5, as a four-goal scenario would require a clear breach of the results ceiling seen so far.

Cardiff MU have a clear attacking advantage: their average xG stands at 2.45 compared with Cambrian & Clydach’s 1.25, while their average number of shots on target is as high as 9.0 versus 4.67 for their opponents. In their last five matches, the hosts were leading at the break in 60% of games, whereas the visitors have not led at half-time on any occasion and were trailing after 45 minutes in 40% of cases. During this period, Cardiff averaged 1.0 goal scored before the break and conceded just 0.2, while the visitors failed to score before half-time and conceded an average of 0.6 goals. The hosts won 60% of their last five matches, and their advantage should increase after the interval, as they have not conceded a goal in the second halves throughout the season and have won every second half played so far. Therefore, the most likely scenario is Cardiff MU leading at half-time and maintaining their winning result through to full-time.