Carlisle United vs Kidderminster Harriers: match statistics
Carlisle United vs Kidderminster Harriers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carlisle United played Kidderminster Harriers in National League (England). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Brunton Park. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Carlisle United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Kidderminster Harriers: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carlisle United scores 1.92 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Kidderminster Harriers scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carlisle United 83%, Kidderminster Harriers 50%. Over 2.5: Carlisle United 58%, Kidderminster Harriers 33%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Carlisle United has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.10. Carlisle United: 15.1 shots per match, Kidderminster Harriers: 6.9.
Match halves
Carlisle United: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 0.92. Kidderminster Harriers: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Carlisle United: 76-90+ (6 goals). Kidderminster Harriers: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.08 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carlisle United are 14th and Kidderminster Harriers 8th, but the home and away statistics favour the hosts. Carlisle average 2.5 goals at home and generate an xG of 2.30, while the visitors score 1.6 goals away from home with an xG of just 0.85. The difference in chance creation is also reflected in shots on target: Carlisle average 8.5 per match compared with Kidderminster’s 2.6. In their last five matches, the hosts have scored 8 goals and picked up 7 points, while the visitors have managed just 3 goals and 5 points. Carlisle’s defensive record is a concern, with the team conceding an average of 2.33 goals at home, so a home win remains the most likely outcome, but it is by no means certain.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indication is that Kidderminster may fail to score: the visitors have been held scoreless in 40% of their matches, while Carlisle have kept a clean sheet in 43%. Although Kidderminster average 1.6 goals per game this season, their average has fallen to 0.6 goals across their last five matches, with an xG of just 0.87. Carlisle, on the other hand, should have chances to score, as the visitors concede an average of 1.6 goals and opponents create chances worth 1.76 xG against them. The percentage of matches in which both teams have scored is 43% for Carlisle and 60% for Kidderminster; however, the visitors’ recent attacking downturn tips the assessment in favor of BTTS - No. This means at least one team is expected not to score; it does not necessarily imply a 0-0 result.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: none of Carlisle’s matches at home so far have exceeded 2.5 goals, although at least 4 goals were scored in 60% of Kidderminster’s away matches. The hosts concede an average of just 0.57 goals at home, while the visitors have scored an average of 0.6 goals over their last 5 matches, limiting the projection for Kidderminster’s goal tally. Carlisle could, however, exploit their opponents’ defence, which concedes an average of 1.6 goals away from home and allows chances worth 1.76 xG. The projected total of 2.35 goals offers a greater margin of safety for the 3.5 line than for 2.5, despite the league average being 3.08 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Carlisle have led at the break in 4 of their 7 home matches and have not trailed at half-time in any of them, while Kidderminster went in behind in 3 of their 5 away fixtures. The hosts concede an average of just 0.14 goals before half-time, whereas the visitors score 0.2 and concede 1.4 in that period, supporting the case for Carlisle to lead after 45 minutes. The full-match records also point to the hosts holding on to their advantage: Carlisle concede an average of 0.57 goals at home, compared with Kidderminster's 1.6 away, while the hosts' xG is 1.27 against 1.76 xG conceded by the visitors. The main risk to the 1/1 pick lies in the second half, when the visitors score an average of 1.4 goals and the hosts just 0.29, making Carlisle to lead at the break and draw at full-time a notable alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carlisle United | Kidderminster Harriers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carlisle United is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Carlisle United · 1 pts / match - Kidderminster Harriers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - Carlisle United · 1.25 goals / match - Kidderminster Harriers
Kidderminster Harriers is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Carlisle United · 1 goals / match - Kidderminster Harriers
Carlisle United scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Kidderminster Harriers keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
Kidderminster Harriers scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carlisle United
Over / Under - Kidderminster Harriers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Carlisle United · 1.42 pts / match - Kidderminster Harriers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kidderminster Harriers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carlisle United
Kidderminster Harriers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Carlisle United | Liga | Kidderminster Harriers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.58 | 3.08 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 60% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 18% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 88% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Carlisle United vs Kidderminster Harriers?
The National League match finished Carlisle United 0:0 Kidderminster Harriers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs Kidderminster Harriers?
Carlisle United score 1.92 goals per game on average and Kidderminster Harriers 1.25. The National League average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Carlisle United's matches and 50% of Kidderminster Harriers's.
What form are Carlisle United and Kidderminster Harriers in?
Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kidderminster Harriers 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs Kidderminster Harriers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carlisle United vs Kidderminster Harriers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.