Carlisle United vs Morecambe: match statistics
Carlisle United vs Morecambe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carlisle United played Morecambe in National League (England). The match was played on 30 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Carlisle United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Morecambe: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carlisle United scores 1.79 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Morecambe scores 1.29 and concedes 2.25. League average: 2.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carlisle United 50%, Morecambe 54%. Over 2.5: Carlisle United 54%, Morecambe 71%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Carlisle United has higher xG: 1.96 vs 1.36. Carlisle United: 15.9 shots per match, Morecambe: 10.9.
Match halves
Carlisle United: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.08. Morecambe: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Carlisle United: 76-90+ (12 goals). Morecambe: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carlisle United | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carlisle United is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Carlisle United · 0.8 pts / match - Morecambe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.79 goals / match - Carlisle United · 1.29 goals / match - Morecambe
Carlisle United is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Carlisle United · 2.25 goals / match - Morecambe
Carlisle United scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Morecambe keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
Morecambe scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carlisle United
Over / Under - Morecambe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Carlisle United · 1.04 pts / match - Morecambe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Morecambe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carlisle United
Morecambe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Carlisle United | Liga | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.81 | ▲ 3.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 54% | 54% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Carlisle United vs Morecambe?
The National League match finished Carlisle United 1:0 Morecambe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs Morecambe?
Carlisle United score 1.79 goals per game on average and Morecambe 1.29. The National League average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Carlisle United's matches and 54% of Morecambe's.
What form are Carlisle United and Morecambe in?
Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Morecambe 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs Morecambe?
The statistical background for Carlisle United vs Morecambe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.