Carolina Core vs FC Cincinnati II: match statistics
Carolina Core vs FC Cincinnati II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carolina Core played FC Cincinnati II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 22 August 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Carolina Core: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. FC Cincinnati II: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carolina Core scores 1.39 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. FC Cincinnati II scores 1.04 and concedes 2.30. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carolina Core 65%, FC Cincinnati II 52%. Over 2.5: Carolina Core 61%, FC Cincinnati II 70%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Carolina Core has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.30. Carolina Core: 12.4 shots per match, FC Cincinnati II: 10.3.
Match halves
Carolina Core: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.78. FC Cincinnati II: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Carolina Core: 31-45+ (9 goals). FC Cincinnati II: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carolina Core have a clear home advantage: they win 42% of their home matches, while FC Cincinnati II have lost every away game and have a -24 goal difference on the road. The hosts average 1.67 goals at home with an xG of 1.63, whereas the visitors score just 0.60 goals away from home and fail to find the net in 50% of their appearances. Cincinnati II’s defence is particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 3.00 goals per away match, keeping no clean sheets and allowing opponents an xG of 1.98. Recent form also favours Carolina: they have collected 8 points and scored 11 goals in their last five matches, while the visitors have managed just 1 point, lost 4 of their 5 games and conceded as many as 17 goals. With possession almost identical at 46% each, the outcome should be decided by the hosts’ greater attacking activity—they average 13.75 shots per match compared with the visitors’ 9.5—as well as Cincinnati II’s extremely poor away defensive record.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by FC Cincinnati II’s current form, with both teams scoring in 100% of their last 5 matches. Carolina Core recorded BTTS in 60% of their five most recent games, scoring an average of 2.2 goals, while Cincinnati II averaged 1.6 goals during the same period. The defensive statistics provide strong arguments for goals at both ends: the hosts have conceded 1.8 goals per match recently, while the visitors have conceded as many as 3.4, with their season average standing at 3.0 goals conceded. Carolina Core should regularly create chances against this defence, but their average xG against is 1.68, giving Cincinnati II a genuine chance of scoring. The season BTTS rates—58% for the hosts and 50% for the visitors—are below the league average of 61%, but the very strong data from the last five rounds shifts the edge towards a Goal/Goal scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Carolina Core have averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last five matches, while FC Cincinnati II have conceded as many as 3.4 goals per game over the same period. The hosts are currently creating chances worth an average of 1.65 xG, whereas the visitors’ defence allows opponents 1.99 xG, clearly strengthening the projection of at least two goals in the match. FC Cincinnati II have kept a clean sheet in none of their matches this season, while Over 1.5 goals has landed in 90% of their games, compared with 67% for Carolina. In addition, the two teams have exceeded the 2.5-goal line in 60% and 100% of their last five appearances, respectively, against a league average of 3.27 goals. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5, as the visitors’ weak defence and the hosts’ improved finishing significantly reduce the risk of a very low-scoring game.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Carolina Core have a clear scoring advantage: they average 1.5 goals per match, while FC Cincinnati II concede as many as 3.0, and the visitors have lost all of their matches to date. The first half is particularly significant, with Cincinnati II trailing at the break in 80% of their games and conceding an average of 1.7 goals, without keeping a single clean sheet. The hosts led at half-time in 3 of 12 matches, but their recent form has been stronger: across their last five games, they averaged 2.2 goals, while their opponents conceded as many as 3.4 goals during that period. After the break, Carolina Core average 1.0 goal compared with just 0.2 for Cincinnati II, so the most likely scenario remains a home lead at half-time followed by a home win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carolina Core | FC Cincinnati II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carolina Core is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Carolina Core · 0.2 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carolina Core is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Carolina Core · 1.04 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II
Carolina Core is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Carolina Core · 2.3 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II
Carolina Core scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while FC Cincinnati II keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
FC Cincinnati II scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Carolina Core keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carolina Core
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carolina Core is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Carolina Core · 0.7 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carolina Core - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FC Cincinnati II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 3.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carolina Core
FC Cincinnati II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Carolina Core | Liga | FC Cincinnati II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.13 | 3.27 | • 3.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 61% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 76% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 84% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Carolina Core 1 - 0 - 0 FC Cincinnati II. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carolina Core vs FC Cincinnati II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Carolina Core 1:3 FC Cincinnati II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carolina Core vs FC Cincinnati II?
Carolina Core score 1.39 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati II 1.04. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Carolina Core's matches and 52% of FC Cincinnati II's.
What form are Carolina Core and FC Cincinnati II in?
Over the last 5 games Carolina Core have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and FC Cincinnati II 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carolina Core vs FC Cincinnati II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.