Carolina Core vs Inter Miami II: match statistics
Carolina Core vs Inter Miami II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carolina Core play Inter Miami II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 23 July 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Carolina Core: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Inter Miami II: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carolina Core scores 1.30 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Inter Miami II scores 0.82 and concedes 2.65. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carolina Core 65%, Inter Miami II 59%. Over 2.5: Carolina Core 60%, Inter Miami II 65%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Carolina Core has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.40. Carolina Core: 12.2 shots per match, Inter Miami II: 11.6.
Match halves
Carolina Core: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.80. Inter Miami II: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Carolina Core: 46-60 (7 goals). Inter Miami II: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 1-3-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 80%.
Match description
I back the home win (1). Carolina Core have 3 wins this season versus 0 for Inter Miami II and sit higher in the table (26th vs 30th). Key advantages for the hosts include superior goal output (22 scored vs 14 for the visitors), higher shot conversion rate 11% vs 8%, and a lower average goals conceded at home 1.22 vs 2.7 away for Inter Miami II. Chance quality also favors Carolina Core — average xG for the hosts at home is 1.59 vs 1.36 xG for Inter Miami II on the road, and the hosts also deliver more shots on target per match (4.78 vs 4.3). Form and trends confirm the edge: in the last 5 matches Carolina Core have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses (5 scored, 7 conceded) averaging 1.0 point per match, while Inter Miami II have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses (2 scored, 9 conceded) averaging 0.2 points per match. Based on this I assess a 70% probability of a home win, 20% for a draw and 10% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carolina Core | Inter Miami II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carolina Core is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Carolina Core · 0.2 pts / match - Inter Miami II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carolina Core is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Carolina Core · 0.82 goals / match - Inter Miami II
Carolina Core is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Carolina Core · 2.65 goals / match - Inter Miami II
Carolina Core scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Inter Miami II keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).
Inter Miami II scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Carolina Core keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Carolina Core
Over / Under — Inter Miami II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carolina Core is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Carolina Core · 0.82 pts / match - Inter Miami II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carolina Core - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Inter Miami II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carolina Core
Inter Miami II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Carolina Core | Liga | Inter Miami II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.90 | 3.23 | ▲ 3.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 65% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 22% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 75% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Carolina Core 1 - 3 - 1 Inter Miami II. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carolina Core vs Inter Miami II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Carolina Core 4:0 Inter Miami II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carolina Core and Inter Miami II?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Carolina Core won 1, Inter Miami II won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carolina Core vs Inter Miami II?
Carolina Core score 1.30 goals per game on average and Inter Miami II 0.82. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Carolina Core's matches and 59% of Inter Miami II's.
What form are Carolina Core and Inter Miami II in?
Over the last 5 games Carolina Core have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Inter Miami II 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carolina Core vs Inter Miami II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.