Carolina Core vs New York RB II: match statistics
Carolina Core vs New York RB II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carolina Core played New York RB II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Carolina Core: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. New York RB II: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carolina Core scores 1.09 and concedes 1.91 goals per match. New York RB II scores 2.27 and concedes 1.36. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carolina Core 73%, New York RB II 91%. Over 2.5: Carolina Core 73%, New York RB II 82%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
New York RB II has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.41. Carolina Core: 12.1 shots per match, New York RB II: 15.3.
Match halves
Carolina Core: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.91. New York RB II: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.27.
Goals by minute
Carolina Core: 46-60 (6 goals). New York RB II: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 4.33, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
New York RB II appear as the clear favorites: they sit 4th in the table versus Carolina Core's 28th and have 7 wins this season compared to the hosts' single victory. In the last 5 matches the visitors have won 3 times and scored 11 goals (2.2 per match), while Carolina has only 1 win and 5 goals (1.0) over the same period; points per game in the last 5 are 1.8 vs 0.8. The hosts’ defense is vulnerable — Carolina concedes 1.8 goals per home match on average (21 conceded this season), whereas NYRB II concedes 1.0 away goal per match (15 this season); average xG against is 1.68 vs 1.28 in favor of the visitors. The visitors also control the game and create better chances: 55% average possession vs 45%, 5.5 shots on target per match vs 4.6 and a conversion rate of 13% vs 11%. Considering the table advantage, better form in the last 5 matches and a more stable defense, I tip New York RB II to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data strongly favor the "both teams to score" scenario: seasonal BTTS is 86% for Carolina Core and 100% for New York RB II vs a league average of 61%. Goal statistics reinforce this signal — Carolina average 2.57 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per match, while New York score 1.75 and concede 1.00, so both sides possess attacking potential and a tendency to concede. In the last 5 matches New York have scored 11 and conceded 9 (recent xG_for 1.93 vs xG_against 1.55), and Carolina have scored 5 and conceded 9 (recent xG_for 1.24 vs xG_against 1.98), which highlights the visitors' scoring form and the hosts' vulnerability to goals. Additionally, over 2.5 with BTTS occurs frequently: 71% for the hosts and 75% for the visitors, while clean sheets are rare (CS 14% vs 0%), so based on these figures I assess BTTS at 90% and tip "Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG and seasonal statistics: expected goals are 1.64 for Carolina (calculated as (1.99 + 1.28)/2 = 1.635 → 1.64) and 1.48 for New York (calculated as (1.60 + 1.37)/2 = 1.485 → 1.48), totaling 3.12. Carolina averages 2.57 goals at home and their matches have finished Over 2.5 goals in 86% of cases this season (Over 3.5 in 71%), while New York average 1.75 goals away and have 75% of matches Over 2.5 this season (0% Over 3.5). Both teams have a high Both Teams To Score rate: Carolina 86% and New York 100%, and the home side averages 16.57 shots (6.29 on target) versus 13.0 (5.5 on target) for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Considering the expected ~3.12 goals and seasonal Over 2.5 rates (roughly 80–86% on average, and 80–100% over the last 5 matches), the strongest and safest signal is an Over bet on the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time there is a high probability of a draw: the home side had a draw at HT in 43% of matches (drawingAtHT_home = 43.0), while the away side drew at HT in 75% of cases (drawingAtHT_away = 75.0), indicating a frequent half-time draw. However, hosts typically start strongly — averaging 1.29 goals by half-time (scoredAVGHT_home = 1.29) and leading at the break in 43% of fixtures (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 43.0). The visitors are stronger after the break: in their last 5 matches they have a 60% win rate (last5_winPercentage_overall_away = 60.0), in the second halves of their last 5 games they average 3.0 goals (last5_AVG_2hg_overall_away = 3.0) and they won the second half in 50% of cases (wins_2hg_percentage_away = 50.0). The combination of a high HT draw rate and the visitors’ superior post-break form makes the most reliable signal a draw at half-time and an away win at full-time (X/2) — this scenario is therefore assigned 29%, while a similar strong scenario is 1/2 at 26% (home leading at HT, visitors staging a turnaround in the second half).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carolina Core | New York RB II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New York RB II is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Carolina Core · 1.8 pts / match - New York RB II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York RB II is 108% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Carolina Core · 2.27 goals / match - New York RB II
New York RB II is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.91 goals / match - Carolina Core · 1.36 goals / match - New York RB II
Carolina Core scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while New York RB II keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
New York RB II scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Carolina Core keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carolina Core
Over / Under - New York RB II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York RB II is 198% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.55 pts / match - Carolina Core · 1.64 pts / match - New York RB II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carolina Core - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
New York RB II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carolina Core
New York RB II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Carolina Core | Liga | New York RB II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.22 | ▲ 3.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 61% | ▲ 91% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 66% | ▲ 82% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 22% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 84% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Carolina Core 0 - 1 - 2 New York RB II. Average goals 4.33, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carolina Core vs New York RB II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Carolina Core 1:1 New York RB II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carolina Core and New York RB II?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Carolina Core won 0, New York RB II won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carolina Core vs New York RB II?
Carolina Core score 1.09 goals per game on average and New York RB II 2.27. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Carolina Core's matches and 91% of New York RB II's.
What form are Carolina Core and New York RB II in?
Over the last 5 games Carolina Core have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and New York RB II 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carolina Core vs New York RB II?
The statistical background for Carolina Core vs New York RB II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.