Italy - Serie BStadio dei MarmiData current as of 24 October 2026

Carrarese vs Arezzo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Carrarese vs Arezzo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Carrarese play Arezzo in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 28 October 2026. Venue: Stadio dei Marmi.

Current form

Carrarese: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Arezzo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Carrarese scores 0.86 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Arezzo scores 1.14 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.70 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Carrarese 43%, Arezzo 57%. Over 2.5: Carrarese 29%, Arezzo 71%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Arezzo has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.17. Carrarese: 11.4 shots per match, Arezzo: 13.4.

Match halves

Carrarese: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.57. Arezzo: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Carrarese: 46-60 (3 goals). Arezzo: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.41)
(3.15)
(2.92)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.86Goals scored / match1.14
CarrareseArezzo
1Goals conceded / match2
CarrareseArezzo
40%Average possession46%
CarrareseArezzo
3.43Shots on target / match3
CarrareseArezzo

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.43Shots per match13.43
CarrareseArezzo
3.43Shots on target3
CarrareseArezzo
7.5%Shot conversion8.5%
CarrareseArezzo
40%Possession46%
CarrareseArezzo
1.17xG for1.35
CarrareseArezzo
1.58xG against1.44
CarrareseArezzo

Shooting quality

Carrarese: BalancedArezzo: Balanced
CarrareseArezzo
Accuracy (shots on target)30%22%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Arezzo is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Carrarese · 1.4 pts / match - Arezzo

Carrarese
LLLWW
Season result split
29% W14% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 at home
1-0-3
LLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Arezzo
LWLDW
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 away
3-0-1
WLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Arezzo is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

0.86 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.14 goals / match - Arezzo

Carrarese is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Carrarese · 2 goals / match - Arezzo

Carrarese scoring profile: strong

Carrarese scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Arezzo keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

Arezzo scoring profile: very strong

Arezzo scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

6Goals scored (season)8
CarrareseArezzo
7Goals conceded (season)14
CarrareseArezzo
1.86Average goals in match3.14
CarrareseArezzo
4Goals scored (last 5)4
CarrareseArezzo
4Goals conceded (last 5)10
CarrareseArezzo

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal71%
CarrareseArezzo
29%2 goals43%
CarrareseArezzo
0%3 goals0%
CarrareseArezzo
0%4 goals0%
CarrareseArezzo

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal71%
CarrareseArezzo
14%2 goals43%
CarrareseArezzo
0%3 goals43%
CarrareseArezzo
0%4 goals29%
CarrareseArezzo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time14%
CarrareseArezzo
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CarrareseArezzo
29%Scored in both halves14%
CarrareseArezzo

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
CarrareseArezzo
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
CarrareseArezzo
20%BTTS - last 540%
CarrareseArezzo

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
CarrareseArezzo
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
CarrareseArezzo
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CarrareseArezzo

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
CarrareseArezzo
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
CarrareseArezzo
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time43%
CarrareseArezzo

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carrarese is 151% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / match - Carrarese · 0.57 pts / match - Arezzo

Carrarese - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing
Arezzo - half-time state
0% leading57% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per match (1st half)0.57
CarrareseArezzo
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.14
CarrareseArezzo
0.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
CarrareseArezzo
0.43Average goals (1st half)0.71
CarrareseArezzo
86%Clean sheet before half-time43%
CarrareseArezzo
71%No goal before half-time86%
CarrareseArezzo

After half-time (2nd half)

0.86Points per match (2nd half)1.57
CarrareseArezzo
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)1
CarrareseArezzo
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)1.43
CarrareseArezzo
1.43Average goals (2nd half)2.43
CarrareseArezzo
14%Clean sheet after half-time57%
CarrareseArezzo
43%No goal after half-time29%
CarrareseArezzo

Carrarese - second-half results

14% W43% D43% L
10
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Arezzo - second-half results

43% W29% D29% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.57
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.9

Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Carrarese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match0.41.2
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Arezzo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.6
Average goals in match0.62.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Carrarese
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
3
0
46-60
0
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Arezzo
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Carrarese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Arezzo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

CarrareseLigaArezzo
Average goals in match▼ 1.862.70▲ 3.14
Both teams scored▼ 43%61%▼ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 29%53%▲ 71%
Clean sheets▼ 14%21%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▼ 43%69%▼ 57%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%82%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.70
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.36
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+1%
Home attack advantage
+1%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Carrarese and Arezzo play?

Carrarese face Arezzo on 28 October 2026 in Serie B at Stadio dei Marmi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Arezzo?

Carrarese score 0.86 goals per game on average and Arezzo 1.14. The Serie B average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Carrarese's matches and 57% of Arezzo's.

What form are Carrarese and Arezzo in?

Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Arezzo 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Arezzo?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.