Carrarese vs Bari 1908: match statistics
Carrarese appears to be the favorite for this encounter, mainly due to a significant advantage in home matches. The hosts record 33% wins at home with a +3 goal difference, while Bari 1908 has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%) and has a disastrous goal difference of -13 on the road. Additionally, Carrarese possesses better xG statistics in home matches (1.55 vs 0.99 for Bari away) and greater efficiency in shots taken. In their last five away matches, Bari presents very poor form with a series of draws and losses, failing to secure a single victory. The high percentage of draws for both teams (44% for the hosts at home and 44% for the visitors away) and their goal-scoring struggles also justify a significant probability of sharing the points; however, Carrarese's advantage at their own stadium speaks for their victory.
Carrarese vs Bari 1908: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carrarese played Bari 1908 in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Carrarese: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Bari 1908: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carrarese scores 1.33 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. Bari 1908 scores 0.89 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carrarese 56%, Bari 1908 61%. Over 2.5: Carrarese 56%, Bari 1908 44%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Carrarese has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.12. Carrarese: 12.8 shots per match, Bari 1908: 10.7.
Match halves
Carrarese: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83. Bari 1908: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Carrarese: 61-75 (6 goals). Bari 1908: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carrarese appears to be the favorite for this encounter, mainly due to a significant advantage in home matches. The hosts record 33% wins at home with a +3 goal difference, while Bari 1908 has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%) and has a disastrous goal difference of -13 on the road. Additionally, Carrarese possesses better xG statistics in home matches (1.55 vs 0.99 for Bari away) and greater efficiency in shots taken. In their last five away matches, Bari presents very poor form with a series of draws and losses, failing to secure a single victory. The high percentage of draws for both teams (44% for the hosts at home and 44% for the visitors away) and their goal-scoring struggles also justify a significant probability of sharing the points; however, Carrarese's advantage at their own stadium speaks for their victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carrarese | Bari 1908 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrarese is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Carrarese · 0.89 goals / match - Bari 1908
Carrarese scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Bari 1908 keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Bari 1908 scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carrarese
Over / Under - Bari 1908
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrarese is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Carrarese · 0.78 pts / match - Bari 1908
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bari 1908 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carrarese
Bari 1908
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Carrarese | Liga | Bari 1908 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.48 | • 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 69% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrarese vs Bari 1908?
The Serie B match finished Carrarese 1:0 Bari 1908. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Bari 1908?
Carrarese score 1.33 goals per game on average and Bari 1908 0.89. The Serie B average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Carrarese's matches and 61% of Bari 1908's.
What form are Carrarese and Bari 1908 in?
Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bari 1908 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Bari 1908?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carrarese vs Bari 1908: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.