Italy - Serie BData current as of 23 July 2026

Carrarese vs Bari 1908: match statistics

Carrarese crest
Carrarese
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Bari 1908 crest
Bari 1908
155%(2.00)
X30%(3.02)
215%(4.20)

Carrarese appears to be the favorite for this encounter, mainly due to a significant advantage in home matches. The hosts record 33% wins at home with a +3 goal difference, while Bari 1908 has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%) and has a disastrous goal difference of -13 on the road. Additionally, Carrarese possesses better xG statistics in home matches (1.55 vs 0.99 for Bari away) and greater efficiency in shots taken. In their last five away matches, Bari presents very poor form with a series of draws and losses, failing to secure a single victory. The high percentage of draws for both teams (44% for the hosts at home and 44% for the visitors away) and their goal-scoring struggles also justify a significant probability of sharing the points; however, Carrarese's advantage at their own stadium speaks for their victory.

Carrarese vs Bari 1908: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Carrarese play Bari 1908 in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 10 January 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Carrarese: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Bari 1908: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Carrarese scores 1.24 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Bari 1908 scores 0.95 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Carrarese 47%, Bari 1908 50%. Over 2.5: Carrarese 50%, Bari 1908 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Carrarese has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.11. Carrarese: 13.3 shots per match, Bari 1908: 10.2.

Match halves

Carrarese: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.84. Bari 1908: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.45.

Goals by minute

Carrarese: 76-90+ (13 goals). Bari 1908: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Carrarese appears to be the favorite for this encounter, mainly due to a significant advantage in home matches. The hosts record 33% wins at home with a +3 goal difference, while Bari 1908 has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%) and has a disastrous goal difference of -13 on the road. Additionally, Carrarese possesses better xG statistics in home matches (1.55 vs 0.99 for Bari away) and greater efficiency in shots taken. In their last five away matches, Bari presents very poor form with a series of draws and losses, failing to secure a single victory. The high percentage of draws for both teams (44% for the hosts at home and 44% for the visitors away) and their goal-scoring struggles also justify a significant probability of sharing the points; however, Carrarese's advantage at their own stadium speaks for their victory.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
CarrareseBari 1908
16Shots11
CarrareseBari 1908
6Shots on target4
CarrareseBari 1908
1.85xG1.31
CarrareseBari 1908
7Corners3
CarrareseBari 1908
58Dangerous attacks44
CarrareseBari 1908
8Fouls13
CarrareseBari 1908
1Cards0
CarrareseBari 1908

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CarrareseBari 1908
1.24Goals scored / match0.95
CarrareseBari 1908
1.37Goals conceded / match1.5
CarrareseBari 1908
51%Average possession46%
CarrareseBari 1908
3.92Shots on target / match3.03
CarrareseBari 1908

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.32Shots per match10.15
CarrareseBari 1908
3.92Shots on target3.03
CarrareseBari 1908
9.3%Shot conversion9.4%
CarrareseBari 1908
51%Possession46%
CarrareseBari 1908
1.43xG for1.11
CarrareseBari 1908
1.39xG against1.79
CarrareseBari 1908

Shooting quality

Carrarese: BalancedBari 1908: Balanced
CarrareseBari 1908
Accuracy (shots on target)29%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bari 1908 is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Carrarese · 1.6 pts / match - Bari 1908

Carrarese
LDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
26% W37% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-14-14
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-8-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Bari 1908
LWWDD
Season result split
25% W30% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-12-18
1.05 pts / match · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-11
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.90Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carrarese is 31% better for: goals scored per match.

1.24 goals / match - Carrarese · 0.95 goals / match - Bari 1908

Carrarese is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.37 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.5 goals / match - Bari 1908

Carrarese scoring profile: strong

Carrarese scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Bari 1908 keeps a clean sheet in 23% (9 of 40 matches).

Bari 1908 scoring profile: strong

Bari 1908 scores in 60% of matches (24 of 40 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).

47Goals scored (season)38
CarrareseBari 1908
52Goals conceded (season)60
CarrareseBari 1908
2.61Average goals in match2.45
CarrareseBari 1908
3Goals scored (last 5)5
CarrareseBari 1908
9Goals conceded (last 5)4
CarrareseBari 1908

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal60%
CarrareseBari 1908
39%2 goals25%
CarrareseBari 1908
21%3 goals8%
CarrareseBari 1908
0%4 goals3%
CarrareseBari 1908

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal78%
CarrareseBari 1908
42%2 goals45%
CarrareseBari 1908
16%3 goals20%
CarrareseBari 1908
8%4 goals5%
CarrareseBari 1908

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time28%
CarrareseBari 1908
13%BTTS in both halves3%
CarrareseBari 1908
29%Scored in both halves18%
CarrareseBari 1908

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
CarrareseBari 1908
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
CarrareseBari 1908
40%BTTS - last 520%
CarrareseBari 1908

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
CarrareseBari 1908
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
CarrareseBari 1908
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
CarrareseBari 1908

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
CarrareseBari 1908
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
CarrareseBari 1908
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
CarrareseBari 1908

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bari 1908 is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.92 pts / match - Carrarese · 1.08 pts / match - Bari 1908

Carrarese - half-time state
13% leading53% draw34% trailing
Bari 1908 - half-time state
15% leading63% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.92Points per match (1st half)1.08
CarrareseBari 1908
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.5
CarrareseBari 1908
0.66Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
CarrareseBari 1908
1.05Average goals (1st half)1.08
CarrareseBari 1908
50%Clean sheet before half-time55%
CarrareseBari 1908
68%No goal before half-time60%
CarrareseBari 1908

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per match (2nd half)1.08
CarrareseBari 1908
0.84Goals scored (2nd half)0.45
CarrareseBari 1908
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.93
CarrareseBari 1908
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.38
CarrareseBari 1908
47%Clean sheet after half-time45%
CarrareseBari 1908
39%No goal after half-time63%
CarrareseBari 1908

Carrarese - second-half results

32% W45% R24% P
35
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bari 1908 - second-half results

23% W40% R38% P
43
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-19
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Carrarese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Bari 1908 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Carrarese
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
7
8
16-30
2
11
31-45
7
10
46-60
12
6
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Bari 1908
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
7
4
16-30
9
10
31-45
6
16
46-60
2
7
61-75
10
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.53
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Carrarese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Bari 1908

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

CarrareseLigaBari 1908
Average goals in match 2.612.55 2.45
Both teams scored 47%53% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%48% 50%
Clean sheets 32%27% 23%
Goal before half-time 63%70% 57%
Goal after half-time 76%78% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Carrarese 1 - 0 - 0 Bari 1908. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Carrarese vs Bari 1908?

The Serie B match finished Carrarese 1:0 Bari 1908. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Bari 1908?

Carrarese score 1.24 goals per game on average and Bari 1908 0.95. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Carrarese's matches and 50% of Bari 1908's.

What form are Carrarese and Bari 1908 in?

Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Bari 1908 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Bari 1908?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carrarese vs Bari 1908: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.