Carrarese vs Catanzaro: match statistics
Catanzaro presents decidedly better form, earning 2.6 points per match in the last five encounters, while Carrarese obtained just 0.4 points. The hosts have not won any of their last five matches and failed to score in as many as 54% of home games. Catanzaro sits in 5th place in the table with an impressive record of 12 victories, and in the last five matches, they scored 11 goals while conceding only 3. Although the visitors have a slightly weaker away record (38% wins), their current form (4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches) and higher scoring efficiency (11% conversion rate vs 9% for the hosts) give them the edge. Considering all statistics, I expect a Catanzaro victory or possibly a draw, though an away win is the most probable scenario.
Carrarese vs Catanzaro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carrarese played Catanzaro in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 4 March 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Carrarese: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Catanzaro: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carrarese scores 1.19 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Catanzaro scores 1.44 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carrarese 48%, Catanzaro 56%. Over 2.5: Carrarese 48%, Catanzaro 48%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Carrarese has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.39. Carrarese: 12.8 shots per match, Catanzaro: 13.2.
Match halves
Carrarese: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.78. Catanzaro: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Carrarese: 61-75 (8 goals). Catanzaro: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Catanzaro presents decidedly better form, earning 2.6 points per match in the last five encounters, while Carrarese obtained just 0.4 points. The hosts have not won any of their last five matches and failed to score in as many as 54% of home games. Catanzaro sits in 5th place in the table with an impressive record of 12 victories, and in the last five matches, they scored 11 goals while conceding only 3. Although the visitors have a slightly weaker away record (38% wins), their current form (4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches) and higher scoring efficiency (11% conversion rate vs 9% for the hosts) give them the edge. Considering all statistics, I expect a Catanzaro victory or possibly a draw, though an away win is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carrarese | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Catanzaro is 550% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Carrarese · 2.6 pts / match - Catanzaro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Catanzaro is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.44 goals / match - Catanzaro
Catanzaro is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.07 goals / match - Catanzaro
Carrarese scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while Catanzaro keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
Catanzaro scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carrarese
Over / Under - Catanzaro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Catanzaro is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Carrarese · 1.33 pts / match - Catanzaro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Catanzaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carrarese
Catanzaro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Carrarese | Liga | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.56 | 2.50 | • 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 55% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Carrarese 0 - 1 - 0 Catanzaro. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrarese vs Catanzaro?
The Serie B match finished Carrarese 3:3 Catanzaro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Catanzaro?
Carrarese score 1.19 goals per game on average and Catanzaro 1.44. The Serie B average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Carrarese's matches and 56% of Catanzaro's.
What form are Carrarese and Catanzaro in?
Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Catanzaro 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Catanzaro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.