Carrarese vs Empoli: match statistics
Carrarese presents solid home form with 40% wins and only 20% losses at their own stadium, with their goal difference in home matches standing at +4. The hosts stand out with high offensive efficiency in the last five matches, scoring 7 goals, and their average xG (1.58) in home games surpasses Empoli's xG away (1.06). Empoli has very poor away form with 56% losses and a negative goal difference (-4), recording not a single away draw this season. Additionally, the guests failed to score in 33% of away matches, which, given Carrarese's solid defense (60% clean sheets at home), could prove crucial. Considering all statistics, the hosts' advantage is clear, although Empoli's experience as a team from a higher league may make the match more competitive than the numbers suggest.
Carrarese vs Empoli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carrarese played Empoli in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 23 January 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Carrarese: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Empoli: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carrarese scores 1.35 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Empoli scores 1.30 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carrarese 55%, Empoli 55%. Over 2.5: Carrarese 55%, Empoli 45%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Carrarese has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.24. Carrarese: 12.9 shots per match, Empoli: 10.8.
Match halves
Carrarese: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85. Empoli: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Carrarese: 61-75 (7 goals). Empoli: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carrarese presents solid home form with 40% wins and only 20% losses at their own stadium, with their goal difference in home matches standing at +4. The hosts stand out with high offensive efficiency in the last five matches, scoring 7 goals, and their average xG (1.58) in home games surpasses Empoli's xG away (1.06). Empoli has very poor away form with 56% losses and a negative goal difference (-4), recording not a single away draw this season. Additionally, the guests failed to score in 33% of away matches, which, given Carrarese's solid defense (60% clean sheets at home), could prove crucial. Considering all statistics, the hosts' advantage is clear, although Empoli's experience as a team from a higher league may make the match more competitive than the numbers suggest.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carrarese | Empoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carrarese is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Carrarese · 1.4 pts / match - Empoli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Empoli is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.25 goals / match - Empoli
Carrarese scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Empoli keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Empoli scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carrarese
Over / Under - Empoli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrarese is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Carrarese · 1.05 pts / match - Empoli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Empoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carrarese
Empoli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Carrarese | Liga | Empoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.85 | 2.47 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 56% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 46% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Carrarese 0 - 1 - 0 Empoli. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrarese vs Empoli?
The Serie B match finished Carrarese 3:0 Empoli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Empoli?
Carrarese score 1.35 goals per game on average and Empoli 1.30. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Carrarese's matches and 55% of Empoli's.
What form are Carrarese and Empoli in?
Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Empoli 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Empoli?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carrarese vs Empoli: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.