Carrarese vs Mantova: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Carrarese played Mantova in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 27 December 2025. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Carrarese: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mantova: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Carrarese scores 1.41 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Mantova scores 0.88 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Carrarese 59%, Mantova 47%. Over 2.5: Carrarese 59%, Mantova 47%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Mantova has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.39. Carrarese: 12.5 shots per match, Mantova: 15.6.

Match halves

Carrarese: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.88. Mantova: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Carrarese: 61-75 (6 goals). Mantova: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
CarrareseMantova
18Shots7
CarrareseMantova
4Shots on target1
CarrareseMantova
1.78xG0.85
CarrareseMantova
7Corners5
CarrareseMantova
52Dangerous attacks45
CarrareseMantova
14Fouls19
CarrareseMantova
2Cards2
CarrareseMantova

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.41Goals scored / match0.88
CarrareseMantova
1.71Goals conceded / match1.59
CarrareseMantova
50%Average possession62%
CarrareseMantova
3.88Shots on target / match5.53
CarrareseMantova

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.47Shots per match15.59
CarrareseMantova
3.88Shots on target5.53
CarrareseMantova
11.3%Shot conversion5.7%
CarrareseMantova
50%Possession62%
CarrareseMantova
1.39xG for1.68
CarrareseMantova
1.45xG against1.48
CarrareseMantova

Shooting quality

Carrarese: BalancedMantova: Dominant
CarrareseMantova
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.16

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Carrarese is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Carrarese · 0.6 pts / match - Mantova

Carrarese
DLLWL
Season result split
24% W41% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-6
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Mantova
WLLLL
Season result split
24% W12% R65% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-11
0.82 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carrarese is 60% better for: goals scored per match.

1.41 goals / match - Carrarese · 0.88 goals / match - Mantova

Mantova is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.71 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.59 goals / match - Mantova

Carrarese scoring profile: very strong

Carrarese scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).

Mantova scoring profile: strong

Mantova scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

24Goals scored (season)15
CarrareseMantova
29Goals conceded (season)27
CarrareseMantova
3.12Average goals in match2.47
CarrareseMantova
6Goals scored (last 5)6
CarrareseMantova
13Goals conceded (last 5)9
CarrareseMantova

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal59%
CarrareseMantova
47%2 goals18%
CarrareseMantova
24%3 goals6%
CarrareseMantova
0%4 goals6%
CarrareseMantova

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal82%
CarrareseMantova
53%2 goals35%
CarrareseMantova
24%3 goals29%
CarrareseMantova
18%4 goals6%
CarrareseMantova

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time18%
CarrareseMantova
18%BTTS in both halves0%
CarrareseMantova
35%Scored in both halves12%
CarrareseMantova

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
CarrareseMantova
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
CarrareseMantova
60%BTTS - last 540%
CarrareseMantova

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
CarrareseMantova
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
CarrareseMantova
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
CarrareseMantova

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
CarrareseMantova
65%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
CarrareseMantova
35%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
CarrareseMantova

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carrarese is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.12 pts / match - Carrarese · 1 pts / match - Mantova

Carrarese - half-time state
18% leading59% draw24% trailing
Mantova - half-time state
18% leading47% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.12Points per match (1st half)1
CarrareseMantova
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.35
CarrareseMantova
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.76
CarrareseMantova
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.12
CarrareseMantova
53%Clean sheet before half-time53%
CarrareseMantova
59%No goal before half-time71%
CarrareseMantova

After half-time (2nd half)

1.12Points per match (2nd half)1.12
CarrareseMantova
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
CarrareseMantova
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
CarrareseMantova
1.88Average goals (2nd half)1.35
CarrareseMantova
29%Clean sheet after half-time41%
CarrareseMantova
35%No goal after half-time59%
CarrareseMantova

Carrarese - second-half results

24% W41% R35% P
19
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mantova - second-half results

29% W24% R47% P
17
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carrarese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.4
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-4-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Mantova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Carrarese
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
7
31-45
3
6
46-60
6
4
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Mantova
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
5
31-45
3
7
46-60
0
4
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Carrarese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
160%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Mantova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.91
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.80
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

CarrareseLigaMantova
Average goals in match 3.122.52 2.47
Both teams scored 59%56% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%48% 47%
Clean sheets 29%26% 18%
Goal before half-time 65%69% 59%
Goal after half-time 82%77% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+36%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. MantovaYellow cardAlessio Castellini
  2. CarrareseYellow cardFabio Abiuso
  3. CarrareseYellow cardNicolo Calabrese
  4. CarrareseSubstitutionOn: Filippo MelegoniOff: Filippo Di Stefano
  5. MantovaYellow cardNicolò Radaelli

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Matteo MarcenaroMatches officiated: 8
4.63Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 225%Home wins63%Draws13%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Carrarese vs Mantova?

The Serie B match finished Carrarese 0:0 Mantova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Mantova?

Carrarese score 1.41 goals per game on average and Mantova 0.88. The Serie B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Carrarese's matches and 47% of Mantova's.

What form are Carrarese and Mantova in?

Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mantova 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Mantova?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.