Carrarese vs Südtirol: match statistics
Carrarese perform significantly better in home matches, where they achieve a 45% win rate and maintain an impressive 64% clean sheets, indicating a solid defense. The hosts have an advantage in xG (1.56 vs 1.25) and score an average of 1.45 goals per match at home, while Südtirol scores only 0.82 goals away. The away form of the visitors is concerning – as many as 73% draws and only 9% wins in away matches, making them predictable and defensive. The last five matches of both teams show better form for Carrarese (2.0 PPG) compared to Südtirol (2.4 PPG), however, the home statistics of the hosts and the weakness of the visitors away speak in favor of a Carrarese victory. The positive goal difference of the hosts at home (+7) compared to the negative away goal difference of the visitors (-3) further confirms the advantage of the team from Carrara.
Carrarese vs Südtirol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carrarese played Südtirol in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Carrarese: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Südtirol: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carrarese scores 1.41 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Südtirol scores 1.09 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carrarese 55%, Südtirol 59%. Over 2.5: Carrarese 59%, Südtirol 36%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Südtirol has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.41. Carrarese: 12.6 shots per match, Südtirol: 12.3.
Match halves
Carrarese: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.91. Südtirol: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Carrarese: 61-75 (8 goals). Südtirol: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carrarese perform significantly better in home matches, where they achieve a 45% win rate and maintain an impressive 64% clean sheets, indicating a solid defense. The hosts have an advantage in xG (1.56 vs 1.25) and score an average of 1.45 goals per match at home, while Südtirol scores only 0.82 goals away. The away form of the visitors is concerning – as many as 73% draws and only 9% wins in away matches, making them predictable and defensive. The last five matches of both teams show better form for Carrarese (2.0 PPG) compared to Südtirol (2.4 PPG), however, the home statistics of the hosts and the weakness of the visitors away speak in favor of a Carrarese victory. The positive goal difference of the hosts at home (+7) compared to the negative away goal difference of the visitors (-3) further confirms the advantage of the team from Carrara.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carrarese | Südtirol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Südtirol is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Carrarese · 2.4 pts / match - Südtirol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrarese is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.09 goals / match - Südtirol
Südtirol is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.05 goals / match - Südtirol
Carrarese scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Südtirol scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carrarese
Over / Under - Südtirol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Südtirol is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Carrarese · 1.45 pts / match - Südtirol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Südtirol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carrarese
Südtirol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Carrarese | Liga | Südtirol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.86 | 2.45 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 47% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 75% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Carrarese 0 - 1 - 0 Südtirol. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrarese vs Südtirol?
The Serie B match finished Carrarese 0:0 Südtirol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Südtirol?
Carrarese score 1.41 goals per game on average and Südtirol 1.09. The Serie B average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Carrarese's matches and 59% of Südtirol's.
What form are Carrarese and Südtirol in?
Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Südtirol 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Südtirol?
The statistical background for Carrarese vs Südtirol — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.