Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipData current as of 12 September 2026

Carrick Rangers vs Bangor: match statistics

Carrick Rangers crest
Carrick Rangers
3 : 2half-time 2:1
Bangor crest
Bangor
155%(1.90)
X25%(3.55)
220%(3.60)

Carrick Rangers presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.6 points per match and noting a series of four victories, while Bangor has only 0.6 points per match with four defeats in this period. The hosts scored as many as 17 goals in the last five meetings, conceding only 3, which shows their excellent offensive and defensive disposition. Bangor has problems away, where they lose 55% of matches and fail to score in 36% of meetings, with merely 9% clean sheets. Although both teams have an identical goal difference at their venues (-7), the current form of Carrick Rangers and the home field advantage speak in their favor. The higher shooting efficiency of the hosts (13% vs 16% for the guests) and better average xG (1.29 vs 1.04) additionally support the prediction of a Carrick Rangers victory.

Carrick Rangers vs Bangor: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Carrick Rangers played Bangor in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 3 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Carrick Rangers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bangor: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Carrick Rangers scores 1.44 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Bangor scores 1.15 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Carrick Rangers 60%, Bangor 54%. Over 2.5: Carrick Rangers 60%, Bangor 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Carrick Rangers has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.19. Carrick Rangers: 10.3 shots per match, Bangor: 8.6.

Match halves

Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.56. Bangor: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.62.

Goals by minute

Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (12 goals). Bangor: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Carrick Rangers presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.6 points per match and noting a series of four victories, while Bangor has only 0.6 points per match with four defeats in this period. The hosts scored as many as 17 goals in the last five meetings, conceding only 3, which shows their excellent offensive and defensive disposition. Bangor has problems away, where they lose 55% of matches and fail to score in 36% of meetings, with merely 9% clean sheets. Although both teams have an identical goal difference at their venues (-7), the current form of Carrick Rangers and the home field advantage speak in their favor. The higher shooting efficiency of the hosts (13% vs 16% for the guests) and better average xG (1.29 vs 1.04) additionally support the prediction of a Carrick Rangers victory.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
Carrick RangersBangor
10Shots7
Carrick RangersBangor
6Shots on target5
Carrick RangersBangor
1.58xG1.19
Carrick RangersBangor
6Corners2
Carrick RangersBangor
73Dangerous attacks53
Carrick RangersBangor
-1Fouls-1
Carrick RangersBangor
2Cards2
Carrick RangersBangor

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Carrick RangersBangor
1.44Goals scored / match1.15
Carrick RangersBangor
1.64Goals conceded / match1.58
Carrick RangersBangor
43%Average possession40%
Carrick RangersBangor
4.32Shots on target / match3.5
Carrick RangersBangor

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.32Shots per match8.58
Carrick RangersBangor
4.32Shots on target3.5
Carrick RangersBangor
14%Shot conversion13.5%
Carrick RangersBangor
43%Possession40%
Carrick RangersBangor
1.36xG for1.19
Carrick RangersBangor
1.46xG against1.61
Carrick RangersBangor

Shooting quality

Carrick Rangers: Counter-attackingBangor: Counter-attacking
Carrick RangersBangor
Accuracy (shots on target)42%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Carrick Rangers is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.2 pts / match - Bangor

Carrick Rangers
LDWWW
Season result split
32% W20% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-12
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-7
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Bangor
WLWLL
Season result split
35% W15% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-13
1.19 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-6
Last 5 away
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 2.03BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carrick Rangers is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.44 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.15 goals / match - Bangor

Carrick Rangers scoring profile: very strong

Carrick Rangers scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Bangor keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).

Bangor scoring profile: strong

Bangor scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).

36Goals scored (season)30
Carrick RangersBangor
41Goals conceded (season)41
Carrick RangersBangor
3.08Average goals in match2.73
Carrick RangersBangor
12Goals scored (last 5)5
Carrick RangersBangor
9Goals conceded (last 5)10
Carrick RangersBangor

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal65%
Carrick RangersBangor
28%2 goals35%
Carrick RangersBangor
20%3 goals12%
Carrick RangersBangor
12%4 goals4%
Carrick RangersBangor

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal88%
Carrick RangersBangor
52%2 goals35%
Carrick RangersBangor
20%3 goals19%
Carrick RangersBangor
4%4 goals8%
Carrick RangersBangor

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time19%
Carrick RangersBangor
4%BTTS in both halves0%
Carrick RangersBangor
16%Scored in both halves23%
Carrick RangersBangor

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Carrick RangersBangor
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Carrick RangersBangor
40%BTTS - last 540%
Carrick RangersBangor

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
Carrick RangersBangor
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time46%
Carrick RangersBangor
24%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Carrick RangersBangor

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Carrick RangersBangor
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
Carrick RangersBangor
28%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
Carrick RangersBangor

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carrick Rangers is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.32 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.23 pts / match - Bangor

Carrick Rangers - half-time state
32% leading36% draw32% trailing
Bangor - half-time state
31% leading31% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.32Points per match (1st half)1.23
Carrick RangersBangor
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.54
Carrick RangersBangor
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.81
Carrick RangersBangor
1.64Average goals (1st half)1.35
Carrick RangersBangor
44%Clean sheet before half-time46%
Carrick RangersBangor
48%No goal before half-time58%
Carrick RangersBangor

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.23
Carrick RangersBangor
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
Carrick RangersBangor
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
Carrick RangersBangor
1.44Average goals (2nd half)1.38
Carrick RangersBangor
44%Clean sheet after half-time46%
Carrick RangersBangor
56%No goal after half-time54%
Carrick RangersBangor

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
33
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bangor - second-half results

31% W31% D38% L
32
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carrick Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.80.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match2.81.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals80%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 9
Bangor - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.00
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.8
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-50
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
7
4
16-30
12
8
31-45
4
6
46-60
4
7
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Bangor
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
1
7
16-30
10
7
31-45
6
7
46-60
5
6
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.91
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-66%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.84
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Bangor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

Carrick RangersLigaBangor
Average goals in match 3.082.79 2.73
Both teams scored 60%49% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%53% 50%
Clean sheets 24%28% 12%
Goal before half-time 80%76% 77%
Goal after half-time 72%77% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. BangorGoalLewis Francis
  2. BangorSubstitutionOn: Kyle OwensOff: Lewis Francis
  3. Carrick RangersGoalBilly Joe Burns
  4. Carrick RangersYellow cardAdam Lecky
  5. Carrick RangersGoalRyan McKay
  6. BangorGoalBen Cushnie
  7. Carrick RangersGoalAdam Lecky
  8. Carrick RangersYellow cardBenjamin Buchanan-Rolleston
  9. BangorSubstitutionOn: Ben ArthursOff: Stephen Fallon
  10. BangorSubstitutionOn: Robert GarrettOff: Reece Neale
  11. BangorYellow cardLiam Hassin
  12. Carrick RangersSubstitutionOn: Eoghan McCawlOff: Kyle Cherry
  13. BangorYellow cardBen Cushnie

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Tim MarshallMatches officiated: 13
2.92Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 246%Home wins0%Draws54%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Carrick Rangers 1 - 0 - 0 Bangor. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Bangor FC
0 : 1
Carrick Rangers FC

FAQ

What was the result of Carrick Rangers vs Bangor?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Carrick Rangers 3:2 Bangor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Carrick Rangers vs Bangor?

Carrick Rangers score 1.44 goals per game on average and Bangor 1.15. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Carrick Rangers's matches and 54% of Bangor's.

What form are Carrick Rangers and Bangor in?

Over the last 5 games Carrick Rangers have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bangor 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrick Rangers vs Bangor?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.