Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Carrick Rangers played Dungannon Swifts in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 3:3.

Current form

Carrick Rangers: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Dungannon Swifts: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Carrick Rangers scores 1.06 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Dungannon Swifts scores 1.11 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.69 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Carrick Rangers 56%, Dungannon Swifts 33%. Over 2.5: Carrick Rangers 50%, Dungannon Swifts 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Dungannon Swifts has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.26. Carrick Rangers: 9.4 shots per match, Dungannon Swifts: 10.8.

Match halves

Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.50. Dungannon Swifts: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.39.

Goals by minute

Carrick Rangers: 16-30 (5 goals). Dungannon Swifts: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
2 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
17Shots6
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
6Shots on target5
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
1.93xG1.1
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
6Corners6
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
62Dangerous attacks50
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
9Fouls10
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
1Cards1
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
1.06Goals scored / match1.11
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
1.5Goals conceded / match1.5
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
43%Average possession53%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
3.75Shots on target / match4.17
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.44Shots per match10.83
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
3.75Shots on target4.17
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
11.3%Shot conversion10.3%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
43%Possession53%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
1.26xG for1.5
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
1.55xG against1.3
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts

Shooting quality

Carrick Rangers: BalancedDungannon Swifts: Balanced
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
Accuracy (shots on target)40%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Dungannon Swifts is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.8 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts

Carrick Rangers
WLLLL
Season result split
31% W6% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-10
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-5
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Dungannon Swifts
WLWLW
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-0-9
1.50 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-5
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dungannon Swifts is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.06 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.11 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts

Carrick Rangers scoring profile: very strong

Carrick Rangers scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).

Dungannon Swifts scoring profile: strong

Dungannon Swifts scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

17Goals scored (season)20
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
24Goals conceded (season)27
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
2.56Average goals in match2.61
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
5Goals scored (last 5)6
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal67%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
13%2 goals39%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
6%3 goals6%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
6%4 goals0%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal67%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
56%2 goals50%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
19%3 goals22%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
0%4 goals11%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time22%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
6%Scored in both halves6%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
80%BTTS - last 540%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Dungannon Swifts is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.94 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.22 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts

Carrick Rangers - half-time state
19% leading38% draw44% trailing
Dungannon Swifts - half-time state
28% leading39% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.94Points per match (1st half)1.22
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.72
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
1.31Average goals (1st half)1.5
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
38%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
56%No goal before half-time50%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.72
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.11
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
50%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts
56%No goal after half-time78%
Carrick RangersDungannon Swifts

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

19% W44% D38% L
15
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding163%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Dungannon Swifts - second-half results

22% W33% D44% L
22
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding179%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carrick Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.6
Average goals in match0.62.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Dungannon Swifts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
5
3
16-30
4
6
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
5
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Dungannon Swifts
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
5
8
16-30
5
3
31-45
0
5
46-60
3
5
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Dungannon Swifts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

Carrick RangersLigaDungannon Swifts
Average goals in match 2.562.69 2.61
Both teams scored 56%48% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%51% 50%
Clean sheets 25%28% 33%
Goal before half-time 81%77% 78%
Goal after half-time 69%78% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.69
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Dungannon SwiftsGoalCahal McGinty
  2. Dungannon SwiftsYellow cardKealan Dillon
  3. Carrick RangersGoalDaniel Gibson
  4. Dungannon SwiftsYellow cardDanny Wallace
  5. Dungannon SwiftsSubstitutionOn: Steven ScottOff: Bobby-Jack McAleese
  6. Carrick RangersYellow cardBenjamin Buchanan-Rolleston
  7. Dungannon SwiftsGoalSean McAllister
  8. Carrick RangersGoalPaul Heatley
  9. Carrick RangersGoalAidan Steele
  10. Dungannon SwiftsSubstitutionOn: Eoghán LiggettOff: James Knowles
  11. Dungannon SwiftsGoalSean McAllister

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Carrick Rangers 1 - 0 - 0 Dungannon Swifts. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Dungannon Swifts FC
0 : 2
Carrick Rangers FC

FAQ

What was the result of Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Carrick Rangers 3:3 Dungannon Swifts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?

Carrick Rangers score 1.06 goals per game on average and Dungannon Swifts 1.11. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Carrick Rangers's matches and 33% of Dungannon Swifts's.

What form are Carrick Rangers and Dungannon Swifts in?

Over the last 5 games Carrick Rangers have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Dungannon Swifts 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?

The statistical background for Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.