Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon: match statistics
Carrick Rangers are displaying decidedly better form than Glenavon, confirmed by a streak of four wins in their last five matches and a high points-per-match ratio (2.4 PPG). Glenavon has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%), losing all of their last thirteen away fixtures, which is an alarming sign. The hosts score an average of 1.38 goals per match at home, while the visitors manage just 0.54 goals away and fail to score in 54% of matches. The -25 goal difference in Glenavon's away games compared to Carrick Rangers' -6 at home further highlights the hosts' advantage. Considering all statistics, a Carrick Rangers victory is the most probable scenario, although the hosts' weaker defense (1.85 goals conceded per match) leaves a slight chance for surprises.
Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carrick Rangers played Glenavon in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 10 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Carrick Rangers: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Glenavon: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carrick Rangers scores 1.50 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Glenavon scores 0.81 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carrick Rangers 62%, Glenavon 50%. Over 2.5: Carrick Rangers 62%, Glenavon 54%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Carrick Rangers has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.14. Carrick Rangers: 10.3 shots per match, Glenavon: 8.9.
Match halves
Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.58. Glenavon: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (14 goals). Glenavon: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carrick Rangers are displaying decidedly better form than Glenavon, confirmed by a streak of four wins in their last five matches and a high points-per-match ratio (2.4 PPG). Glenavon has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%), losing all of their last thirteen away fixtures, which is an alarming sign. The hosts score an average of 1.38 goals per match at home, while the visitors manage just 0.54 goals away and fail to score in 54% of matches. The -25 goal difference in Glenavon's away games compared to Carrick Rangers' -6 at home further highlights the hosts' advantage. Considering all statistics, a Carrick Rangers victory is the most probable scenario, although the hosts' weaker defense (1.85 goals conceded per match) leaves a slight chance for surprises.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carrick Rangers | Glenavon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carrick Rangers is 333% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 0.6 pts / match - Glenavon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrick Rangers is 85% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 0.81 goals / match - Glenavon
Carrick Rangers is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 2 goals / match - Glenavon
Carrick Rangers scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Glenavon keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 26 matches).
Glenavon scores in 54% of matches (14 of 26 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
Over / Under - Glenavon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrick Rangers is 112% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 0.65 pts / match - Glenavon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Glenavon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +9 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carrick Rangers
Glenavon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Carrick Rangers | Liga | Glenavon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 2.80 | • 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 27% | ▼ 4% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 77% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Carrick Rangers 1 - 0 - 1 Glenavon. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Carrick Rangers 2:1 Glenavon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carrick Rangers and Glenavon?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Carrick Rangers won 1, Glenavon won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon?
Carrick Rangers score 1.50 goals per game on average and Glenavon 0.81. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Carrick Rangers's matches and 50% of Glenavon's.
What form are Carrick Rangers and Glenavon in?
Over the last 5 games Carrick Rangers have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Glenavon 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.