Carrick Rangers vs Larne: match statistics
Carrick Rangers vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carrick Rangers played Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 26 December 2025. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Carrick Rangers: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Larne: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carrick Rangers scores 1.17 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Larne scores 1.68 and concedes 0.42. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carrick Rangers 61%, Larne 26%. Over 2.5: Carrick Rangers 50%, Larne 32%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Larne has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.29. Carrick Rangers: 9.9 shots per match, Larne: 12.6.
Match halves
Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56. Larne: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (6 goals). Larne: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carrick Rangers | Larne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Larne is 550% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 2.6 pts / match - Larne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.68 goals / match - Larne
Larne is 271% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 0.42 goals / match - Larne
Carrick Rangers scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 63% (12 of 19 matches).
Larne scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
Over / Under - Larne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.79 pts / match - Larne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Larne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carrick Rangers
Larne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Carrick Rangers | Liga | Larne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.72 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 50% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Carrick Rangers 0 - 0 - 1 Larne. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrick Rangers vs Larne?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Carrick Rangers 1:2 Larne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrick Rangers vs Larne?
Carrick Rangers score 1.17 goals per game on average and Larne 1.68. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Carrick Rangers's matches and 26% of Larne's.
What form are Carrick Rangers and Larne in?
Over the last 5 games Carrick Rangers have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Larne 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrick Rangers vs Larne?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carrick Rangers vs Larne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.