Casa Pia vs Moreirense FC: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Casa Pia occupies 13th place in the table, but in their last 5 matches, they have averaged 1.6 points per game, winning 2 matches. Moreirense FC ranks higher (8th place), however, their away form is problematic - 50% losses on the road and only 1.2 points per game in their last 5 matches. A key factor is the visitors' advantage in offensive efficiency (3.5 shots on target per match vs 2.73 for the hosts) and in ball possession (49% vs 45%). However, Casa Pia has the advantage in home form with 45% draws and a solid average of 1.36 goals per match at home. Considering the poor form of both teams and the similar xG values, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the hosts may take advantage of playing at home.
Casa Pia vs Moreirense FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Casa Pia played Moreirense FC in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Casa Pia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Moreirense FC: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Casa Pia scores 1.09 and concedes 1.87 goals per match. Moreirense FC scores 1.26 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Casa Pia 48%, Moreirense FC 48%. Over 2.5: Casa Pia 52%, Moreirense FC 61%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Moreirense FC has higher xG: 1.02 vs 0.96. Casa Pia: 8.5 shots per match, Moreirense FC: 8.9.
Match halves
Casa Pia: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.57. Moreirense FC: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Casa Pia: 31-45+ (5 goals). Moreirense FC: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Casa Pia occupies 13th place in the table, but in their last 5 matches, they have averaged 1.6 points per game, winning 2 matches. Moreirense FC ranks higher (8th place), however, their away form is problematic - 50% losses on the road and only 1.2 points per game in their last 5 matches. A key factor is the visitors' advantage in offensive efficiency (3.5 shots on target per match vs 2.73 for the hosts) and in ball possession (49% vs 45%). However, Casa Pia has the advantage in home form with 45% draws and a solid average of 1.36 goals per match at home. Considering the poor form of both teams and the similar xG values, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the hosts may take advantage of playing at home.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Casa Pia | Moreirense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Casa Pia is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Casa Pia · 1.2 pts / match - Moreirense FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Moreirense FC is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Casa Pia · 1.26 goals / match - Moreirense FC
Moreirense FC is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.87 goals / match - Casa Pia · 1.43 goals / match - Moreirense FC
Casa Pia scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Moreirense FC keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Moreirense FC scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Casa Pia
Over / Under - Moreirense FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Casa Pia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Moreirense FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Casa Pia
Moreirense FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Casa Pia | Liga | Moreirense FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.96 | 2.77 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Casa Pia 0 - 0 - 1 Moreirense FC. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Casa Pia vs Moreirense FC?
The Liga NOS match finished Casa Pia 1:1 Moreirense FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Casa Pia vs Moreirense FC?
Casa Pia score 1.09 goals per game on average and Moreirense FC 1.26. The Liga NOS average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Casa Pia's matches and 48% of Moreirense FC's.
What form are Casa Pia and Moreirense FC in?
Over the last 5 games Casa Pia have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Moreirense FC 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casa Pia vs Moreirense FC?
The statistical background for Casa Pia vs Moreirense FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.