Casa Pia vs Santa Clara: match statistics
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Casa Pia played Santa Clara in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Pina Manique. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Casa Pia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Santa Clara: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Casa Pia scores 0.43 and concedes 2.29 goals per match. Santa Clara scores 1.57 and concedes 0.57. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Casa Pia 29%, Santa Clara 43%. Over 2.5: Casa Pia 43%, Santa Clara 43%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Santa Clara has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.17. Casa Pia: 10.3 shots per match, Santa Clara: 13.1.
Match halves
Casa Pia: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.29. Santa Clara: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Casa Pia: 31-45+ (1 goals). Santa Clara: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Santa Clara are 4th and remain unbeaten after 7 rounds, while 17th-placed Casa Pia have won just once and suffered 5 defeats. In their last 5 matches, the visitors have recorded 3 wins and conceded just 2 goals, while the hosts have won once and conceded 8. Santa Clara’s advantage is particularly clear in matches played at these venues: they average 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded away from home, whereas Casa Pia score 0.33 goals and concede as many as 4 at home. The hosts have failed to score in 67% of their home matches, despite averaging 1.18 xG, which points to a problem with finishing their chances. The visitors have a similar away xG of 1.20, but are more clinical and have won 2 of their 3 away matches so far, making a Santa Clara win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to Casa Pia failing to score: they have averaged just 0.6 goals across their last 5 matches, while Santa Clara have conceded only 0.4. During this period, the visitors allowed opponents chances worth an average xG of 0.98, while Casa Pia recorded an xG of 1.31, so a home goal remains possible but is far from certain. Santa Clara are more likely to find the net, having averaged 1.6 goals recently, while Casa Pia have conceded 1.6. Although the visitors scored in every match included in their season statistics, BTTS - Yes landed in only 40% of the teams' last 5 matches, tipping the assessment towards BTTS - No: at least one team is expected not to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: none of Santa Clara’s matches in the sample exceeded this line, and the team concedes just 0.67 goals on average. Casa Pia kept a clean sheet in 75% of its matches, further limiting the chances of a high-scoring game. In their last five matches, the hosts averaged 0.6 goals scored, while the visitors conceded just 0.4, so a high goal tally from Casa Pia is difficult to expect. Santa Clara has been more clinical recently, scoring 1.6 goals per match compared with their opponents’ 0.6; however, with a projected total of 2.20 goals, the 3.5 line offers a clearer edge than the more demanding 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Santa Clara are in better form, having recorded 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches, while Casa Pia have won once and suffered 3 defeats. The visitors led at the break in 3 of those 5 matches and did not concede in the first half in any of them; over the same period, the hosts did not lead at half-time once and scored an average of just 0.2 goals before the break. Santa Clara’s record of avoiding defeat in all of their last five matches, while conceding an average of 0.4 goals per game, also supports the prospect of them holding on to a potential lead. However, the 2/2 HT/FT pick is not certain, as Casa Pia have not lost at home and concede an average of just 0.5 goals; therefore, scenarios with a half-time draw also carry significant weight in the forecast.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Casa Pia | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.16 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Santa Clara is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Casa Pia · 2.2 pts / match - Santa Clara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Santa Clara is 265% better for: goals scored per match.
0.43 goals / match - Casa Pia · 1.57 goals / match - Santa Clara
Santa Clara is 302% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.29 goals / match - Casa Pia · 0.57 goals / match - Santa Clara
Casa Pia scores in 29% of matches (2 of 7 matches), while Santa Clara keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
Santa Clara scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Casa Pia
Over / Under - Santa Clara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Santa Clara is 275% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.57 pts / match - Casa Pia · 2.14 pts / match - Santa Clara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Casa Pia - second-half results
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Santa Clara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Casa Pia | Liga | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.71 | 2.74 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 28% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 75% | ▼ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Casa Pia 0 - 1 - 1 Santa Clara. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
The Liga NOS match finished Casa Pia 0:1 Santa Clara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Casa Pia and Santa Clara?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0, Santa Clara won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
Casa Pia score 0.43 goals per game on average and Santa Clara 1.57. The Liga NOS average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Casa Pia's matches and 43% of Santa Clara's.
What form are Casa Pia and Santa Clara in?
Over the last 5 games Casa Pia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Santa Clara 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Casa Pia vs Santa Clara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.