Casertana vs Catania: match statistics
Casertana vs Catania: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Casertana played Catania in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 27 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Casertana: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Catania: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Casertana scores 1.83 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Catania scores 1.67 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Casertana 67%, Catania 50%. Over 2.5: Casertana 67%, Catania 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Casertana: 13.3 shots per match, Catania: 11.7.
Match halves
Casertana: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Catania: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Casertana: 76-90+ (3 goals). Catania: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Casertana remain unbeaten this season, recording 3 wins and 3 draws, while in their last five matches they have collected 11 points from 3 victories and 2 draws. Catania have won only 2 of their 6 league matches and suffered 2 defeats in their last five appearances, averaging 1.4 points per game compared with Casertana’s 2.2. At home, the hosts create slightly more high-quality chances, with an average xG of 1.64 and 15 shots per match, while Catania have failed to score in as many as 50% of their away games. Both teams average 2 goals in their respective conditions, but the visitors have yet to keep a clean sheet and concede 2 goals per away match, strengthening the case for a narrow Casertana victory. However, the hosts’ high home draw rate of 67% means that a share of the points remains a realistic alternative.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is moderately positive: Casertana has landed BTTS in 60% of its last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Catania has averaged 1.8 goals in its last five games, while its xG stands at a high 1.90, which should be enough to break through the hosts’ defence, allowing 1.18 xG. The hosts create an average of 1.50 xG, while Catania has kept no clean sheets all season and has conceded an average of 2.0 goals. Catania’s BTTS rate over its last five matches is only 40%, but its defence conceded 1.4 goals per game during this period, making a goal for each side the more likely outcome. BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically mean a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the two-goal threshold was surpassed in 75% of Casertana’s matches and in as many as 100% of Catania’s away matches. Catania score an average of 2.0 goals away from home, but also concede 2.0, having kept no clean sheets, which clearly favors an open game. In their last five appearances, Casertana averaged 1.6 goals per match and Catania 1.8, with the total-goals average standing at 2.6 and 3.2 respectively in their matches. Their attacking potential is also supported by the xG figures: 1.50 for the home side and 1.64 for the visitors. Therefore, the projected total of 2.78 goals gives a clear edge to the Over 1.5 line. The Over 2.5 line also looks positive, but its margin is noticeably smaller than for Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Casertana win, as the hosts have been level at the break in 40% of their last five matches and conceded only 0.4 goals per game in those first halves. Catania have averaged 0.8 goals before the break in their last five outings, but went into half-time trailing in as many as 40% of those matches. After the interval, Casertana present a clearly stronger profile: they score 1.25 goals and concede just 0.25 at home, while Catania concede an average of 1.5 goals away from home after the break and have lost 100% of their second halves. The hosts are also unbeaten in their last five league matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, whereas Catania have suffered 2 defeats during that period. Despite similar xG figures—1.50 for Casertana compared with 1.64 for Catania—the hosts’ advantage in the closing stages of the match supports the X/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Casertana | Catania | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Casertana is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Casertana · 1.4 pts / match - Catania
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Casertana is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Casertana · 1.67 goals / match - Catania
Casertana scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Catania keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Catania scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Casertana
Over / Under - Catania
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Casertana is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Casertana · 1.17 pts / match - Catania
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Casertana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Catania - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Casertana
Catania
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Casertana | Liga | Catania | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.17 | 2.89 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Casertana 0 - 2 - 0 Catania. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Casertana vs Catania?
The Serie C Group C match finished Casertana 1:2 Catania. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Casertana and Catania?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Casertana won 0, Catania won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Casertana vs Catania?
Casertana score 1.83 goals per game on average and Catania 1.67. The Serie C Group C average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Casertana's matches and 50% of Catania's.
What form are Casertana and Catania in?
Over the last 5 games Casertana have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Catania 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casertana vs Catania?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.