Casertana vs Crotone: match statistics
Crotone presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 12 points (4 wins) compared to just 4 points for Casertana (1 win, 3 losses). The visitors possess better offensive statistics on the road (averaging 1.58 goals per match) and a more solid defense (1.08 goals conceded), confirmed by a higher xG indicator (1.51 vs 1.36 for the hosts). Casertana shows instability in recent home matches, conceding an average of 1.17 goals with only 48% possession. Crotone also holds an advantage in possession (53%) and a higher win percentage away (42% vs 58% for the hosts at home), which, given the current disposition of both teams, speaks in favor of the visitors. The difference in form and quality of play makes Crotone the favorite for this encounter.
Casertana vs Crotone: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Casertana played Crotone in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 10 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Casertana: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Crotone: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Casertana scores 1.44 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Crotone scores 1.40 and concedes 0.84. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Casertana 56%, Crotone 32%. Over 2.5: Casertana 48%, Crotone 40%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Crotone has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.41. Casertana: 11.0 shots per match, Crotone: 11.2.
Match halves
Casertana: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.72. Crotone: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Casertana: 31-45+ (9 goals). Crotone: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Crotone presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 12 points (4 wins) compared to just 4 points for Casertana (1 win, 3 losses). The visitors possess better offensive statistics on the road (averaging 1.58 goals per match) and a more solid defense (1.08 goals conceded), confirmed by a higher xG indicator (1.51 vs 1.36 for the hosts). Casertana shows instability in recent home matches, conceding an average of 1.17 goals with only 48% possession. Crotone also holds an advantage in possession (53%) and a higher win percentage away (42% vs 58% for the hosts at home), which, given the current disposition of both teams, speaks in favor of the visitors. The difference in form and quality of play makes Crotone the favorite for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Casertana | Crotone | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Crotone is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Casertana · 2.4 pts / match - Crotone
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crotone is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Casertana · 0.84 goals / match - Crotone
Casertana scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Crotone keeps a clean sheet in 44% (11 of 25 matches).
Crotone scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Casertana
Over / Under - Crotone
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crotone is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Casertana · 1.68 pts / match - Crotone
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Casertana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Crotone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Casertana
Crotone
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Casertana | Liga | Crotone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.49 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 30% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 65% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Casertana 1 - 0 - 0 Crotone. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Casertana vs Crotone?
The Serie C Group C match finished Casertana 2:2 Crotone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Casertana vs Crotone?
Casertana score 1.44 goals per game on average and Crotone 1.40. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Casertana's matches and 32% of Crotone's.
What form are Casertana and Crotone in?
Over the last 5 games Casertana have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Crotone 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casertana vs Crotone?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Casertana vs Crotone: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.