Italy - Serie C Group CData current as of 13 September 2026

Casertana vs Foggia: match statistics

Casertana crest
Casertana
3 : 2half-time 2:1
Foggia crest
Foggia
165%(1.49)
X22%(3.70)
213%(5.50)

Casertana displays significantly better home form with a 55% win rate at home and a positive goal difference of +5, while Foggia has a disastrous away record with only 8% wins and a goal difference of -15. The hosts score an average of 1.55 goals per match at home, conceding only 1.09, while the visitors away score just 0.75 goals, conceding as many as 2 per match. Foggia fails to earn points in 42% of away matches, and their recent series of 5 away games is a disaster with only one win. The xG stats also favor the hosts (1.36 vs 1.18), and possession and shot efficiency are comparable, which, combined with the home advantage, gives Casertana a clear edge. The recent form of both teams is similar (0.8 PPG each), but the home-away context strongly favors the hosts.

Casertana vs Foggia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Casertana played Foggia in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Casertana: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Foggia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Casertana scores 1.38 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Foggia scores 0.83 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.48 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Casertana 54%, Foggia 54%. Over 2.5: Casertana 46%, Foggia 54%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Casertana has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.12. Casertana: 11.0 shots per match, Foggia: 9.2.

Match halves

Casertana: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.71. Foggia: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Casertana: 31-45+ (9 goals). Foggia: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Casertana displays significantly better home form with a 55% win rate at home and a positive goal difference of +5, while Foggia has a disastrous away record with only 8% wins and a goal difference of -15. The hosts score an average of 1.55 goals per match at home, conceding only 1.09, while the visitors away score just 0.75 goals, conceding as many as 2 per match. Foggia fails to earn points in 42% of away matches, and their recent series of 5 away games is a disaster with only one win. The xG stats also favor the hosts (1.36 vs 1.18), and possession and shot efficiency are comparable, which, combined with the home advantage, gives Casertana a clear edge. The recent form of both teams is similar (0.8 PPG each), but the home-away context strongly favors the hosts.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
CasertanaFoggia
12Shots7
CasertanaFoggia
6Shots on target4
CasertanaFoggia
1.45xG1.05
CasertanaFoggia
6Corners2
CasertanaFoggia
38Dangerous attacks44
CasertanaFoggia
13Fouls9
CasertanaFoggia
2Cards0
CasertanaFoggia

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.38Goals scored / match0.83
CasertanaFoggia
1.13Goals conceded / match1.67
CasertanaFoggia
48%Average possession44%
CasertanaFoggia
4.25Shots on target / match2.75
CasertanaFoggia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11Shots per match9.17
CasertanaFoggia
4.25Shots on target2.75
CasertanaFoggia
12.5%Shot conversion9.1%
CasertanaFoggia
48%Possession44%
CasertanaFoggia
1.4xG for1.12
CasertanaFoggia
1.33xG against1.62
CasertanaFoggia

Shooting quality

Casertana: BalancedFoggia: Balanced
CasertanaFoggia
Accuracy (shots on target)39%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Casertana
WDLLL
Season result split
46% W25% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-7
1.63 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Foggia
DLWLL
Season result split
21% W29% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-12
0.92 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-8
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Casertana is 66% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - Casertana · 0.83 goals / match - Foggia

Casertana is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - Casertana · 1.67 goals / match - Foggia

Casertana scoring profile: very strong

Casertana scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Foggia keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).

Foggia scoring profile: strong

Foggia scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).

33Goals scored (season)20
CasertanaFoggia
27Goals conceded (season)40
CasertanaFoggia
2.5Average goals in match2.5
CasertanaFoggia
3Goals scored (last 5)5
CasertanaFoggia
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
CasertanaFoggia

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal63%
CasertanaFoggia
38%2 goals21%
CasertanaFoggia
21%3 goals0%
CasertanaFoggia
0%4 goals0%
CasertanaFoggia

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal83%
CasertanaFoggia
33%2 goals46%
CasertanaFoggia
8%3 goals25%
CasertanaFoggia
0%4 goals4%
CasertanaFoggia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time17%
CasertanaFoggia
8%BTTS in both halves0%
CasertanaFoggia
25%Scored in both halves21%
CasertanaFoggia

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
CasertanaFoggia
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
CasertanaFoggia
20%BTTS - last 580%
CasertanaFoggia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
CasertanaFoggia
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
CasertanaFoggia
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
CasertanaFoggia

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
CasertanaFoggia
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
CasertanaFoggia
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
CasertanaFoggia

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Casertana is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.46 pts / match - Casertana · 1.08 pts / match - Foggia

Casertana - half-time state
33% leading46% draw21% trailing
Foggia - half-time state
25% leading33% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per match (1st half)1.08
CasertanaFoggia
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.42
CasertanaFoggia
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
CasertanaFoggia
1.08Average goals (1st half)1.29
CasertanaFoggia
58%Clean sheet before half-time54%
CasertanaFoggia
50%No goal before half-time58%
CasertanaFoggia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)0.92
CasertanaFoggia
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
CasertanaFoggia
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
CasertanaFoggia
1.42Average goals (2nd half)1.21
CasertanaFoggia
54%Clean sheet after half-time38%
CasertanaFoggia
46%No goal after half-time58%
CasertanaFoggia

Casertana - second-half results

42% W25% D33% L
35
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Foggia - second-half results

17% W42% D42% L
26
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding84%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Casertana - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.40
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference+2-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Foggia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Casertana
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
6
4
16-30
9
4
31-45
3
4
46-60
6
9
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Foggia
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
4
6
16-30
4
11
31-45
4
6
46-60
3
5
61-75
3
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Casertana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.83
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Foggia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

CasertanaLigaFoggia
Average goals in match 2.502.48 2.50
Both teams scored 54%50% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 46%47% 54%
Clean sheets 29%30% 17%
Goal before half-time 71%66% 71%
Goal after half-time 83%77% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.05
Away goals / match
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CasertanaGoalManuel Llano Massa
  2. CasertanaGoalShady OukhaddaAssist: Daniele Liotti
  3. CasertanaYellow cardSalvatore Pezzella
  4. FoggiaSubstitutionOn: Luca NocerinoOff: Michael Liguori
  5. CasertanaSubstitutionOn: Giuseppe Kevin LeoneOff: Salvatore Pezzella
  6. FoggiaGoalLuca NocerinoAssist: Federico Romeo
  7. CasertanaGoalYayah KallonAssist: Accursio Bentivegna
  8. CasertanaSubstitutionOn: Vincenzo ArzilloOff: Stefano Girelli
  9. CasertanaSubstitutionOn: Umberto GallettaOff: Accursio Bentivegna
  10. CasertanaYellow cardUmberto Galletta

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Casertana 0 - 1 - 0 Foggia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Foggia
1 : 1
Casertana

FAQ

What was the result of Casertana vs Foggia?

The Serie C Group C match finished Casertana 3:2 Foggia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Casertana vs Foggia?

Casertana score 1.38 goals per game on average and Foggia 0.83. The Serie C Group C average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Casertana's matches and 54% of Foggia's.

What form are Casertana and Foggia in?

Over the last 5 games Casertana have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Foggia 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casertana vs Foggia?

The statistical background for Casertana vs Foggia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.