Italy - Serie C Group CStadio Comunale Alberto PintoData current as of 16 October 2026

Casertana vs Monopoli: match statistics

Casertana crest
Casertana
3 : 1half-time 2:1
Monopoli crest
Monopoli

Casertana vs Monopoli: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Casertana played Monopoli in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Casertana: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Monopoli: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Casertana scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Monopoli scores 0.75 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Casertana 63%, Monopoli 13%. Over 2.5: Casertana 63%, Monopoli 13%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Casertana has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.11. Casertana: 12.9 shots per match, Monopoli: 8.6.

Match halves

Casertana: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.88. Monopoli: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.38.

Goals by minute

Casertana: 76-90+ (3 goals). Monopoli: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Casertana have the edge in attack: at home, they average 1.75 goals and 4.5 shots on target per match, while Monopoli score just 0.25 goals away from home and manage 2 shots on target. The quality of the chances created supports this assessment: Casertana’s home xG is 1.65, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.06. However, Monopoli are capable defensively, conceding an average of 0.5 goals away and keeping a clean sheet in half of their matches, so the hosts may find it difficult to make their advantage count. The visitors have lost none of their last 5 matches, while Casertana have won 2 and lost 2, increasing the likelihood of a draw. Even so, Monopoli’s struggles in front of goal on the road—they have failed to score in 75% of such matches—point to a narrow Casertana win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal points to Monopoli failing to score: away from home, they average just 0.25 goals and have drawn a blank in 75% of their matches. Casertana have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their home games, conceding an average of 0.5 goals, further limiting the visitors’ chances. So far, both teams have scored in 25% of Casertana’s home matches and 0% of Monopoli’s away matches, well below the league average of 53%. Over their last five matches, that rate has risen to 40% for Casertana and 20% for Monopoli, so the possibility of goals at both ends cannot be ruled out. Even so, given Monopoli’s poor away scoring record, it is more likely that at least one team will fail to score—BTTS - No.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Casertana matches average 1.75 goals, while Monopoli matches average just 0.75, meaning both teams play well below the league average of 2.78. The 3.5-goal line has not been exceeded in any of Monopoli’s matches and in only 25% of Casertana’s games. The hosts concede an average of 0.5 goals, as do the visitors, who have failed to score in 75% of their matches. Although the teams’ average xG figures are 1.15 and 1.06, respectively, Monopoli record just 2 shots on target per game and score an average of 0.25 goals. Therefore, with a projected total of 1.90 goals, Under 3.5 is the safest pick; Under 2.5 also looks attractive, but offers a smaller margin of safety.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Casertana average 1.25 goals at home, while Monopoli score just 0.25 away from home, which points in the hosts’ favour. Casertana led at the break in 2 of these 4 home matches, while Monopoli were trailing at half-time in 2 of their 4 away games and did not lead in any of them. The visitors have yet to score in the first half of an away match, making a home lead at the break the strongest signal for this part of the game. Casertana have not conceded after half-time in any of their 4 home matches, increasing the chances of them maintaining their lead until full-time. However, confidence in the pick is tempered by the fact that Monopoli have not lost any of their last 5 matches overall and conceded an average of just 0.4 goals in those games.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

45Possession (%)55
CasertanaMonopoli
21Shots14
CasertanaMonopoli
8Shots on target4
CasertanaMonopoli
2.28xG1.52
CasertanaMonopoli
7Corners5
CasertanaMonopoli
56Dangerous attacks50
CasertanaMonopoli
12Fouls9
CasertanaMonopoli
2Cards2
CasertanaMonopoli

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.5Goals scored / match0.75
CasertanaMonopoli
1.5Goals conceded / match0.5
CasertanaMonopoli
52%Average possession50%
CasertanaMonopoli
4.63Shots on target / match2.75
CasertanaMonopoli

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.88Shots per match8.63
CasertanaMonopoli
4.63Shots on target2.75
CasertanaMonopoli
11.7%Shot conversion8.7%
CasertanaMonopoli
52%Possession50%
CasertanaMonopoli
1.56xG for1.11
CasertanaMonopoli
1.59xG against1.32
CasertanaMonopoli

Shooting quality

Casertana: BalancedMonopoli: Balanced
CasertanaMonopoli
Accuracy (shots on target)36%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Monopoli is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Casertana · 1.8 pts / match - Monopoli

Casertana
WWDLL
Season result split
38% W38% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-2
1.50 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 at home
1-2-1
DDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Monopoli
WDDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W38% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-2
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
LLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Casertana is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Casertana · 0.75 goals / match - Monopoli

Monopoli is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Casertana · 0.5 goals / match - Monopoli

Casertana scoring profile: mixed

Casertana scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Monopoli keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).

Monopoli scoring profile: strong

Monopoli scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

12Goals scored (season)6
CasertanaMonopoli
12Goals conceded (season)4
CasertanaMonopoli
3Average goals in match1.25
CasertanaMonopoli
5Goals scored (last 5)4
CasertanaMonopoli
6Goals conceded (last 5)2
CasertanaMonopoli

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal50%
CasertanaMonopoli
50%2 goals25%
CasertanaMonopoli
25%3 goals0%
CasertanaMonopoli
0%4 goals0%
CasertanaMonopoli

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal38%
CasertanaMonopoli
63%2 goals13%
CasertanaMonopoli
13%3 goals0%
CasertanaMonopoli
0%4 goals0%
CasertanaMonopoli

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time13%
CasertanaMonopoli
13%BTTS in both halves0%
CasertanaMonopoli
25%Scored in both halves25%
CasertanaMonopoli

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS13%
CasertanaMonopoli
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CasertanaMonopoli
40%BTTS - last 520%
CasertanaMonopoli

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
CasertanaMonopoli
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
CasertanaMonopoli
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
CasertanaMonopoli

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time38%
CasertanaMonopoli
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
CasertanaMonopoli
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
CasertanaMonopoli

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Casertana is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Casertana · 1.13 pts / match - Monopoli

Casertana - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing
Monopoli - half-time state
25% leading38% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.13
CasertanaMonopoli
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.38
CasertanaMonopoli
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
CasertanaMonopoli
1.25Average goals (1st half)0.88
CasertanaMonopoli
38%Clean sheet before half-time63%
CasertanaMonopoli
63%No goal before half-time63%
CasertanaMonopoli

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)1.75
CasertanaMonopoli
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
CasertanaMonopoli
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0
CasertanaMonopoli
1.75Average goals (2nd half)0.38
CasertanaMonopoli
38%Clean sheet after half-time100%
CasertanaMonopoli
38%No goal after half-time63%
CasertanaMonopoli

Casertana - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Monopoli - second-half results

38% W63% D0% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Casertana - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Monopoli - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match0.80.4
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Casertana
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Monopoli
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
76%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Casertana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Monopoli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.82
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
31%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

CasertanaLigaMonopoli
Average goals in match▲ 3.002.78▼ 1.25
Both teams scored▲ 63%53%▼ 13%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 63%50%▼ 13%
Clean sheets▼ 25%29%▲ 63%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%73%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▲ 75%73%▼ 38%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CasertanaYellow cardGiulio Favale
  2. MonopoliGoalLuca Vido
  3. CasertanaYellow cardGabriele Rocchi
  4. CasertanaGoalJacopo ManconiAssist: Davide Castelli
  5. MonopoliYellow cardEdoardo Olivieri
  6. MonopoliYellow cardCristian Cerretti
  7. MonopoliSubstitutionOn: Emanuele ScipioniOff: Cristian Battocchio
  8. CasertanaGoalJacopo ManconiAssist: Enrico Piovanello
  9. CasertanaSubstitutionOn: Francesco Di TacchioOff: Salvatore Pezzella

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Casertana 1 - 1 - 0 Monopoli. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Casertana
2 : 1
Monopoli
Monopoli
1 : 1
Casertana

FAQ

What was the result of Casertana vs Monopoli?

The Serie C Group C match finished Casertana 3:1 Monopoli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Casertana and Monopoli?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Casertana won 1, Monopoli won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Casertana vs Monopoli?

Casertana score 1.50 goals per game on average and Monopoli 0.75. The Serie C Group C average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Casertana's matches and 13% of Monopoli's.

What form are Casertana and Monopoli in?

Over the last 5 games Casertana have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Monopoli 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casertana vs Monopoli?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Casertana vs Monopoli: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.