Casertana vs Picerno: match statistics
Casertana shows solid form in home matches, recording a 54% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.69 goals per home game, with a 16% conversion rate and an average of 3.92 shots on target. Picerno performs significantly worse in away matches – with just a 29% win rate, a negative goal difference (-9), and a 50% loss rate on the road. The visitors concede an average of 1.79 goals per away match, which, combined with weaker offensive efficiency (1.14 goals) and a lower xG (1.01), puts them in an unfavorable position. Although Picerno shows better form in their last five matches (2.0 PPG), their away struggles and Casertana's home advantage point to a home win. A draw remains a realistic option due to the relatively balanced xG values of both teams and Casertana's history of draws (31% at home).
Casertana vs Picerno: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Casertana played Picerno in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Casertana: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Picerno: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Casertana scores 1.48 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Picerno scores 1.22 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Casertana 59%, Picerno 63%. Over 2.5: Casertana 52%, Picerno 59%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Casertana has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.15. Casertana: 10.8 shots per match, Picerno: 9.1.
Match halves
Casertana: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.70. Picerno: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Casertana: 31-45+ (10 goals). Picerno: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Casertana shows solid form in home matches, recording a 54% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.69 goals per home game, with a 16% conversion rate and an average of 3.92 shots on target. Picerno performs significantly worse in away matches – with just a 29% win rate, a negative goal difference (-9), and a 50% loss rate on the road. The visitors concede an average of 1.79 goals per away match, which, combined with weaker offensive efficiency (1.14 goals) and a lower xG (1.01), puts them in an unfavorable position. Although Picerno shows better form in their last five matches (2.0 PPG), their away struggles and Casertana's home advantage point to a home win. A draw remains a realistic option due to the relatively balanced xG values of both teams and Casertana's history of draws (31% at home).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Casertana | Picerno | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Picerno is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Casertana · 2 pts / match - Picerno
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Casertana is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Casertana · 1.22 goals / match - Picerno
Casertana is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Casertana · 1.59 goals / match - Picerno
Casertana scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
Picerno scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Casertana
Over / Under - Picerno
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Casertana is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Casertana · 1.48 pts / match - Picerno
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Casertana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Picerno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Casertana
Picerno
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Casertana | Liga | Picerno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.74 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 49% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 66% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Casertana 1 - 0 - 0 Picerno. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Casertana vs Picerno?
The Serie C Group C match finished Casertana 2:1 Picerno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Casertana vs Picerno?
Casertana score 1.48 goals per game on average and Picerno 1.22. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Casertana's matches and 63% of Picerno's.
What form are Casertana and Picerno in?
Over the last 5 games Casertana have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Picerno 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casertana vs Picerno?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Casertana vs Picerno: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.