Casertana vs Sorrento Calcio: match statistics
Casertana vs Sorrento Calcio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Casertana played Sorrento Calcio in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 30 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Casertana: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Sorrento Calcio: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Casertana scores 1.42 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Sorrento Calcio scores 1.09 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Casertana 55%, Sorrento Calcio 55%. Over 2.5: Casertana 52%, Sorrento Calcio 52%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Casertana has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.20. Casertana: 10.5 shots per match, Sorrento Calcio: 9.5.
Match halves
Casertana: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.70. Sorrento Calcio: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Casertana: 31-45+ (12 goals). Sorrento Calcio: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Casertana emerges clearly as the favorite due to strong home form and a high home Win% (63) with an average of 1.69 goals per home match. The hosts’ recent run (lwdww) and PPG 2 indicate good form, while Sorrento are in poor form (lllld) with just 0.2 PPG. Offensive and quality metrics also favor Casertana: home xG 1.40 and 4.31 SOT per match versus visitors’ 1.08 xG and 2.94 SOT. The visitors’ defense is more vulnerable (GA 1.56, xG against 1.79) and a high rate of matches without scoring away (FTS% 44) limits their goal expectancy. Considering home advantage, form and efficiency gap, I tip a home win with relatively high probability.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics point to BTTS – Casertana has 65% of matches with both teams scoring this season, Sorrento 44%, league avg 50%. Sorrento’s poor defensive form is notable: 12 conceded in last 5 (avg 2.4), xG_against_away 1.79 and ga_season 49 indicate susceptibility. Casertana creates decent chances (xG_for 1.31, 3.76 SOT avg) and has 47 goals this season, while both teams have low clean sheet rates (24% and 19%). Casertana’s low recent BTTS (20% in last 5) reduces confidence, so the forecast is not extreme. Based on attack/defense balance, I recommend BTTS: Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis points to a clear probability of Over 1.5 goals: combined xG (1.31 + 1.08) correlated with high xG_against (1.79 for Sorrento) indicates offensive intensity and defensive vulnerability. Season Over 1.5 rates (Casertana 82%, Sorrento 63%) and a high share of matches >0.5 goals confirm propensity to score and concede. Over 2.5 is moderately likely given total expected goals ~2.8 and a relatively high home Over 2.5 rate, but carries more risk than 1.5. Over 3.5 is less likely due to moderate conversion rates and lower seasonal values at that line. Considering form (Casertana stronger, Sorrento weaker defensively) I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HT statistics indicate a high frequency of draws at the break (drawingAtHTPercentage_home 53%, away 50%), increasing the likelihood of a half-time draw. Casertana has a clear offensive edge and better form (seasonScoredAVG_home 1.35 vs 0.81, last5 form lwdww), and a tendency to score late (9 goals 76–90), which favors a turnaround after the break. Sorrento are in poor form (lllld), with low efficiency and a high loss rate, so a home win after a HT draw is most likely. I treat X/1 as the strongest signal derived from the combination of frequent HT draws and Casertana’s second-half advantage. Additionally, xG values and recent results support higher chances for the home side to win the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Casertana | Sorrento Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Casertana is 900% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Casertana · 0.2 pts / match - Sorrento Calcio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Casertana is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Casertana · 1.09 goals / match - Sorrento Calcio
Casertana is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Casertana · 1.48 goals / match - Sorrento Calcio
Casertana scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Sorrento Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).
Sorrento Calcio scores in 67% of matches (22 of 33 matches), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Casertana
Over / Under - Sorrento Calcio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Casertana is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Casertana · 1.15 pts / match - Sorrento Calcio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Casertana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sorrento Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Casertana
Sorrento Calcio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Casertana | Liga | Sorrento Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.64 | 2.48 | ▲ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 29% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 66% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Casertana 1 - 0 - 0 Sorrento Calcio. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Casertana vs Sorrento Calcio?
The Serie C Group C match finished Casertana 2:0 Sorrento Calcio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Casertana vs Sorrento Calcio?
Casertana score 1.42 goals per game on average and Sorrento Calcio 1.09. The Serie C Group C average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Casertana's matches and 55% of Sorrento Calcio's.
What form are Casertana and Sorrento Calcio in?
Over the last 5 games Casertana have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sorrento Calcio 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casertana vs Sorrento Calcio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Casertana vs Sorrento Calcio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.