Catania vs Cavese: match statistics
Catania exhibits impressive home form with a 90% win rate and a streak of ten consecutive victories at their own ground. The hosts boast a phenomenal home defensive record—100% clean sheets and an average of zero goals conceded—rendering their stadium an impregnable fortress. Cavese struggles significantly on the road, losing 50% of away matches and averaging just 0.8 PPG in their last five outings. The disparity in goal difference is stark: +22 for Catania at home versus -4 for Cavese away. Furthermore, the hosts possess superior xG metrics (1.58 vs 1.37) and significantly higher conversion rates (18% vs 11%). Given the visitors' poor disposition, these factors should translate into a decisive victory for Catania.
Catania vs Cavese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Catania played Cavese in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Catania: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Cavese: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Catania scores 1.65 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Cavese scores 1.10 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Catania 25%, Cavese 45%. Over 2.5: Catania 25%, Cavese 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Catania has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.41. Catania: 11.7 shots per match, Cavese: 11.2.
Match halves
Catania: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.85. Cavese: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Catania: 61-75 (8 goals). Cavese: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Catania exhibits impressive home form with a 90% win rate and a streak of ten consecutive victories at their own ground. The hosts boast a phenomenal home defensive record—100% clean sheets and an average of zero goals conceded—rendering their stadium an impregnable fortress. Cavese struggles significantly on the road, losing 50% of away matches and averaging just 0.8 PPG in their last five outings. The disparity in goal difference is stark: +22 for Catania at home versus -4 for Cavese away. Furthermore, the hosts possess superior xG metrics (1.58 vs 1.37) and significantly higher conversion rates (18% vs 11%). Given the visitors' poor disposition, these factors should translate into a decisive victory for Catania.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Catania | Cavese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Catania is 175% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Catania · 0.8 pts / match - Cavese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Catania is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Catania · 1.1 goals / match - Cavese
Catania is 160% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Catania · 1.3 goals / match - Cavese
Catania scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Cavese keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Cavese scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Catania keeps a clean sheet in 70% (14 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Catania
Over / Under - Cavese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Catania is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.9 pts / match - Catania · 1.35 pts / match - Cavese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Catania - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cavese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Catania
Cavese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Catania | Liga | Cavese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.56 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 53% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 70% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 67% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Catania 1 - 0 - 0 Cavese. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Catania vs Cavese?
The Serie C Group C match finished Catania 2:0 Cavese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Catania vs Cavese?
Catania score 1.65 goals per game on average and Cavese 1.10. The Serie C Group C average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Catania's matches and 45% of Cavese's.
What form are Catania and Cavese in?
Over the last 5 games Catania have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Cavese 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Catania vs Cavese?
The statistical background for Catania vs Cavese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.