Catania vs Crotone: match statistics
Catania vs Crotone: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Catania played Crotone in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Angelo Massimino. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Catania: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Crotone: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Catania scores 1.71 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Crotone scores 1.00 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Catania 57%, Crotone 57%. Over 2.5: Catania 71%, Crotone 43%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Crotone has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.62. Catania: 12.6 shots per match, Crotone: 15.7.
Match halves
Catania: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.00. Crotone: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Catania: 31-45+ (3 goals). Crotone: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Catania have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals, while Crotone have managed just 1 win, scoring 7 goals. At home, the hosts average 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded, while the visitors average 1 goal scored and 1.33 conceded per away match. Shot conversion also favours Catania: 13% compared with Crotone’s 7%, although the visitors’ away xG is slightly higher than the hosts’ home xG (1.54 to 1.50). However, Crotone have yet to win any of their away matches and have not kept a clean sheet in them, strengthening the case for a home win. The risk of a draw remains significant, as 67% of Crotone’s away matches have ended level, while Catania have won only 25% of their home games.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 50% of Catania’s matches and 67% of Crotone’s, rising to 60% and 80%, respectively, across their last five games. Neither team kept a clean sheet in any of the matches analysed, increasing the likelihood that both will concede. Their attacking potential also supports goals: average xG stands at 1.87 for Catania and 1.54 for Crotone, while the teams scored an average of 2.2 and 1.4 goals, respectively, in their last five matches. The main risk for this market is the home side’s finishing, as they failed to score in 50% of their matches. Even so, the higher BTTS frequency in both teams’ recent form supports the BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last five matches, Catania averaged 2.2 goals scored, while Crotone conceded 1.6, pointing to goals for the hosts. Crotone scored 1.4 goals per match over the same period, while the teams' average xG stood at 1.72 for Catania and 1.59 for Crotone, suggesting the visitors also have attacking potential. At least two goals were scored in 75% of Catania's home matches and 67% of Crotone's away matches. Over 1.5 goals is the stronger pick than Over 2.5, as the higher total has landed in only 50% of Catania's home matches and 33% of Crotone's away matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Catania leading at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while conceding an average of just 0.2 goals in first halves; Crotone failed to score before half-time in 3 of 5 matches over the same period. The hosts’ current form supports them holding on to their lead: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 2.2 goals, while the visitors have won once and conceded an average of 1.6 goals. Catania also create more chances at home, averaging 1.87 xG compared with Crotone’s 1.54 away, and registering 5.25 shots on target against the visitors’ 4.33. The 1/1 pick remains only moderately reliable, however, as Catania have been level at half-time in 50% of their home matches to date, making X/1 a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Catania | Crotone | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Catania is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Catania · 1.2 pts / match - Crotone
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Catania is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Catania · 1 goals / match - Crotone
Catania is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Catania · 1.43 goals / match - Crotone
Catania scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Crotone keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
Crotone scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Catania keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Catania
Over / Under - Crotone
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Catania is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Catania · 1.29 pts / match - Crotone
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Catania - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Crotone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Catania
Crotone
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Catania | Liga | Crotone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 52% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 49% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Catania 1 - 0 - 1 Crotone. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Catania vs Crotone?
The Serie C Group C match finished Catania 2:1 Crotone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Catania and Crotone?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Catania won 1, Crotone won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Catania vs Crotone?
Catania score 1.71 goals per game on average and Crotone 1.00. The Serie C Group C average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Catania's matches and 57% of Crotone's.
What form are Catania and Crotone in?
Over the last 5 games Catania have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Crotone 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Catania vs Crotone?
The statistical background for Catania vs Crotone — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.