Catania vs Virtus Casarano: match statistics
Catania holds a decisive home advantage with an impressive 81% win rate in home matches and a 100% clean sheet record. The hosts' home goal difference stands at +31, highlighting their immense dominance on their own turf. Conversely, Virtus Casarano struggles away from home, losing 63% of their away matches and conceding an average of 2.31 goals per game. Furthermore, the visitors have a negative goal difference of -16 in away fixtures and have kept a clean sheet in only 6% of them. While both teams' form over the last five matches is similar, Catania's far superior home form combined with Virtus Casarano's pronounced away weaknesses point unequivocally towards a certain home victory. The predicted outcome is a decisive win for Catania with a low probability of a draw or an away upset.
Catania vs Virtus Casarano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Catania played Virtus Casarano in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 23 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Catania: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Virtus Casarano: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Catania scores 1.53 and concedes 0.56 goals per match. Virtus Casarano scores 1.38 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Catania 31%, Virtus Casarano 56%. Over 2.5: Catania 31%, Virtus Casarano 63%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Catania has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.19. Catania: 12.1 shots per match, Virtus Casarano: 9.1.
Match halves
Catania: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.81. Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Catania: 76-90+ (13 goals). Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Catania holds a decisive home advantage with an impressive 81% win rate in home matches and a 100% clean sheet record. The hosts' home goal difference stands at +31, highlighting their immense dominance on their own turf. Conversely, Virtus Casarano struggles away from home, losing 63% of their away matches and conceding an average of 2.31 goals per game. Furthermore, the visitors have a negative goal difference of -16 in away fixtures and have kept a clean sheet in only 6% of them. While both teams' form over the last five matches is similar, Catania's far superior home form combined with Virtus Casarano's pronounced away weaknesses point unequivocally towards a certain home victory. The predicted outcome is a decisive win for Catania with a low probability of a draw or an away upset.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Catania | Virtus Casarano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Catania is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Catania · 1.4 pts / match - Virtus Casarano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Catania is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Catania · 1.38 goals / match - Virtus Casarano
Catania is 191% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.56 goals / match - Catania · 1.63 goals / match - Virtus Casarano
Catania scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Virtus Casarano scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Catania keeps a clean sheet in 66% (21 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Catania
Over / Under - Virtus Casarano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Catania is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / match - Catania · 1.28 pts / match - Virtus Casarano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Catania - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Virtus Casarano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Catania
Virtus Casarano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Catania | Liga | Virtus Casarano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.09 | 2.49 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 50% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 47% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 66% | 29% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 79% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Catania 0 - 0 - 1 Virtus Casarano. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Catania vs Virtus Casarano?
The Serie C Group C match finished Catania 1:1 Virtus Casarano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Catania vs Virtus Casarano?
Catania score 1.53 goals per game on average and Virtus Casarano 1.38. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Catania's matches and 56% of Virtus Casarano's.
What form are Catania and Virtus Casarano in?
Over the last 5 games Catania have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Virtus Casarano 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Catania vs Virtus Casarano?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Catania vs Virtus Casarano: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.