Italy - Serie BStadio Nicola CeravoloData current as of 21 October 2026

Catanzaro vs Ascoli: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Catanzaro vs Ascoli: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Catanzaro play Ascoli in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo.

Current form

Catanzaro: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Ascoli: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Catanzaro scores 1.14 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Ascoli scores 1.14 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.73 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Catanzaro 71%, Ascoli 57%. Over 2.5: Catanzaro 71%, Ascoli 29%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Ascoli has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.39. Catanzaro: 12.9 shots per match, Ascoli: 13.6.

Match halves

Catanzaro: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57. Ascoli: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Catanzaro: 16-30 (2 goals). Ascoli: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.20)
(3.40)
(3.10)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.14Goals scored / match1.14
CatanzaroAscoli
2Goals conceded / match0.71
CatanzaroAscoli
55%Average possession61%
CatanzaroAscoli
3.71Shots on target / match4
CatanzaroAscoli

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.86Shots per match13.57
CatanzaroAscoli
3.71Shots on target4
CatanzaroAscoli
8.9%Shot conversion8.4%
CatanzaroAscoli
55%Possession61%
CatanzaroAscoli
1.39xG for1.49
CatanzaroAscoli
1.88xG against1.36
CatanzaroAscoli

Shooting quality

Catanzaro: BalancedAscoli: Balanced
CatanzaroAscoli
Accuracy (shots on target)29%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ascoli is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Catanzaro · 1.6 pts / match - Ascoli

Catanzaro
LWLLD
Season result split
14% W14% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-5
0.57 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Ascoli
WLWDD
Season result split
43% W43% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-1
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
WLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ascoli is 182% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Catanzaro · 0.71 goals / match - Ascoli

Catanzaro scoring profile: very strong

Catanzaro scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

Ascoli scoring profile: very strong

Ascoli scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Catanzaro keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

8Goals scored (season)8
CatanzaroAscoli
14Goals conceded (season)5
CatanzaroAscoli
3.14Average goals in match1.86
CatanzaroAscoli
5Goals scored (last 5)5
CatanzaroAscoli
9Goals conceded (last 5)3
CatanzaroAscoli

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal71%
CatanzaroAscoli
29%2 goals29%
CatanzaroAscoli
0%3 goals14%
CatanzaroAscoli
0%4 goals0%
CatanzaroAscoli

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal71%
CatanzaroAscoli
86%2 goals0%
CatanzaroAscoli
29%3 goals0%
CatanzaroAscoli
0%4 goals0%
CatanzaroAscoli

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

43%BTTS at half-time14%
CatanzaroAscoli
29%BTTS in both halves0%
CatanzaroAscoli
29%Scored in both halves0%
CatanzaroAscoli

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
CatanzaroAscoli
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CatanzaroAscoli
60%BTTS - last 540%
CatanzaroAscoli

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time43%
CatanzaroAscoli
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
CatanzaroAscoli
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CatanzaroAscoli

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
CatanzaroAscoli
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
CatanzaroAscoli
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
CatanzaroAscoli

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Catanzaro is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Catanzaro · 0.71 pts / match - Ascoli

Catanzaro - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing
Ascoli - half-time state
0% leading71% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.71
CatanzaroAscoli
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.14
CatanzaroAscoli
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
CatanzaroAscoli
1.43Average goals (1st half)0.57
CatanzaroAscoli
43%Clean sheet before half-time57%
CatanzaroAscoli
43%No goal before half-time86%
CatanzaroAscoli

After half-time (2nd half)

0.86Points per match (2nd half)1.71
CatanzaroAscoli
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)1
CatanzaroAscoli
1.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.29
CatanzaroAscoli
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.29
CatanzaroAscoli
29%Clean sheet after half-time71%
CatanzaroAscoli
43%No goal after half-time43%
CatanzaroAscoli

Catanzaro - second-half results

14% W43% D43% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ascoli - second-half results

43% W43% D14% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.71
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Catanzaro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Ascoli - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Catanzaro
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Ascoli
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
0
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.49
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Catanzaro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
154%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Ascoli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

CatanzaroLigaAscoli
Average goals in match▲ 3.142.73▼ 1.86
Both teams scored▲ 71%64%▼ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%56%▼ 29%
Clean sheets▼ 14%20%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▲ 71%66%▼ 43%
Goal after half-time• 86%86%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Catanzaro and Ascoli play?

Catanzaro face Ascoli on 24 October 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Catanzaro vs Ascoli?

Catanzaro score 1.14 goals per game on average and Ascoli 1.14. The Serie B average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Catanzaro's matches and 57% of Ascoli's.

What form are Catanzaro and Ascoli in?

Over the last 5 games Catanzaro have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ascoli 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Catanzaro vs Ascoli?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.