Cavalry FC vs York9 FC: match statistics
Cavalry FC vs York9 FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cavalry FC played York9 FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Cavalry FC: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. York9 FC: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cavalry FC scores 1.67 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. York9 FC scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cavalry FC 67%, York9 FC 50%. Over 2.5: Cavalry FC 67%, York9 FC 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Cavalry FC has higher xG: 1.37 vs 0.65. Cavalry FC: 12.3 shots per match, York9 FC: 8.5.
Match halves
Cavalry FC: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67. York9 FC: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Cavalry FC: 16-30 (2 goals). York9 FC: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-2. Average goals 3.20, BTTS 80%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cavalry FC enters the match with a clear advantage: they sit 2nd in the table, have a 100% home win rate and average 3.0 goals scored per home game, with 6 shots on target and 15 shots overall (conversion rate 20%). Their home xG is 1.64 versus xG against 1.32, so the hosts generate higher-quality chances and convert them above expectation (3.0 goals vs 1.64 xG). York9 are 4th, but over the last five matches they have a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, scoring 6 goals (1.2 per match) and conceding 11 (2.2 per match), which highlights defensive issues. Cavalry have conceded only 4 goals in their last 5 matches (0.8 per match) and have not had a home game without scoring, while also averaging 2.0 points per match in their last five compared to York9’s 1.0. Based on superior efficiency (3.0 goals vs 1.2), better chance-quality metrics (1.64 xG) and the visitors’ poor defense (11 goals conceded), I expect a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have BTTS at 60% in the last 5 matches, which is a strong signal in favor of 'BTTS - Yes'. Cavalry in the last 5 matches averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 0.8 (7 for and 4 against), while York9 scores 1.2 and concedes 2.2 (6 for and 11 against), so both teams have recently been both scoring and conceding. xG metrics also confirm offensive activity: Cavalry generates 1.5 xG per match in the last 5, and York9 0.93 xG, with xG against of 1.49 and 1.76 respectively, indicating chance creation on both sides. Seasonal data for the away side is incomplete (many zeroes), and Cavalry’s season BTTS is 50% versus the league level of 45%, so the last-5 form deserves the most weight. Considering the consistent 60% BTTS in the last 5, higher average goals and xG for Cavalry, and York9’s 11 goals conceded in the last 5, I estimate BTTS probability at 70% vs 30% and recommend 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on the last 5 matches and xG, I estimate 1.63 goals for Cavalry and 1.21 for York9, giving a combined expected total of 2.84 goals. Cavalry has last5 xG_for 1.50 and scored 7 goals in the last 5 (1.4 avg), while York9 has last5 xG_against 1.76 and conceded 11 goals in the last 5 (2.2 avg), which increases the likelihood of more goals. Additionally, the last 5 matches show Over 2.5 in 60% of Cavalry’s games and 80% of York9’s games (70% on average), with a league average of 2.36 goals per match, supporting the Over 2.5 line. As a result, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (high probability 92%), Over 2.5 also looks favorable (70%), while Over 3.5 remains less likely (38%). I choose Over 1.5 as the best line to play due to the combined expected total of 2.84 goals, an average of 1.5 goals for Cavalry at home and York9’s weaker defense (2.2 conceded in the last 5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Cavalry FC led at half-time in 2 of 2 home matches (leadingAtHT_home = 2.0; leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 100.0) and average 1.0 goal by the break (scoredAVGHT_home = 1.0; GoalsHT_home = 2.0), while York9 have no goals at half-time (scoredAVGHT_away = 0.0). The hosts score 1.5 goals per match and concede 1.0 (seasonScoredAVG_home = 1.5; seasonConcededAVG_home = 1.0), whereas the visitors have 0.0 in both categories, with the hosts’ average xG at 0.65 versus 0.0 for York9 (xg_for_avg_home = 0.65 vs xg_for_avg_away = 0.0), indicating an advantage in chance creation. Cavalry average 8.5 shots and 3.0 shots on target per match (shotsAVG_home = 8.5; shotsOnTargetAVG_home = 3.0), while York9 record 0.0 in these stats, so the probability of an early lead and maintaining it is high. Considering also 2.0 points per game at home (seasonPPG_home = 2.0) versus 0.0 for the visitors (seasonPPG_away = 0.0), the most likely scenario is Cavalry leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1); draw or visitor turnaround scenarios are far less likely given York9’s zero offensive metrics (e.g. shotsOnTargetAVG_away = 0.0).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cavalry FC | York9 FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cavalry FC is 17% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - Cavalry FC · 2 pts / match - York9 FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cavalry FC is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Cavalry FC · 1.5 goals / match - York9 FC
Cavalry FC is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Cavalry FC · 1 goals / match - York9 FC
Cavalry FC scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while York9 FC keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
York9 FC scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Cavalry FC keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cavalry FC
Over / Under - York9 FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
York9 FC is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Cavalry FC · 3 pts / match - York9 FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cavalry FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
York9 FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cavalry FC
York9 FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Cavalry FC | Liga | York9 FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.33 | 2.42 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 67% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 83% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Cavalry FC 3 - 0 - 2 York9 FC. Average goals 3.20, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cavalry FC vs York9 FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Cavalry FC 1:1 York9 FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cavalry FC and York9 FC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Cavalry FC won 3, York9 FC won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cavalry FC vs York9 FC?
Cavalry FC score 1.67 goals per game on average and York9 FC 1.50. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Cavalry FC's matches and 50% of York9 FC's.
What form are Cavalry FC and York9 FC in?
Over the last 5 games Cavalry FC have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and York9 FC 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cavalry FC vs York9 FC?
The statistical background for Cavalry FC vs York9 FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.