Cavese vs Audace Cerignola: match statistics
Audace Cerignola displays clearly superior form and efficiency this season. The visitors hold a 43% win rate away with only 29% losses, while Cavese wins just 29% of home matches and loses 36%. Form over the last five matches also favors the visitors – Audace earned 2.0 points per match (3 wins) compared to 1.2 points for Cavese (only 1 win). Cavese fails to score in 29% of home games, and their home goal difference stands at 0, indicating offensive struggles. Audace Cerignola possesses better xG statistics (1.36 vs 1.42 for Cavese), but most importantly, a significantly higher point efficiency. Taking all statistical data into account, I predict a victory for the visitors, although low xG values and similar possession statistics suggest this could be a close encounter with the possibility of a draw.
Cavese vs Audace Cerignola: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cavese played Audace Cerignola in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Cavese: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Audace Cerignola: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cavese scores 0.93 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Audace Cerignola scores 1.21 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cavese 43%, Audace Cerignola 46%. Over 2.5: Cavese 39%, Audace Cerignola 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Audace Cerignola has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.36. Cavese: 10.7 shots per match, Audace Cerignola: 12.8.
Match halves
Cavese: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.57. Audace Cerignola: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Cavese: 61-75 (7 goals). Audace Cerignola: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Audace Cerignola displays clearly superior form and efficiency this season. The visitors hold a 43% win rate away with only 29% losses, while Cavese wins just 29% of home matches and loses 36%. Form over the last five matches also favors the visitors – Audace earned 2.0 points per match (3 wins) compared to 1.2 points for Cavese (only 1 win). Cavese fails to score in 29% of home games, and their home goal difference stands at 0, indicating offensive struggles. Audace Cerignola possesses better xG statistics (1.36 vs 1.42 for Cavese), but most importantly, a significantly higher point efficiency. Taking all statistical data into account, I predict a victory for the visitors, although low xG values and similar possession statistics suggest this could be a close encounter with the possibility of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cavese | Audace Cerignola | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Audace Cerignola is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Cavese · 2 pts / match - Audace Cerignola
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Audace Cerignola is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Cavese · 1.21 goals / match - Audace Cerignola
Cavese scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while Audace Cerignola keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).
Audace Cerignola scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Cavese keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cavese
Over / Under - Audace Cerignola
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cavese is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Cavese · 1.18 pts / match - Audace Cerignola
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cavese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Audace Cerignola - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cavese
Audace Cerignola
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Cavese | Liga | Audace Cerignola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.48 | • 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 49% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 30% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 65% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cavese 1 - 0 - 0 Audace Cerignola. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cavese vs Audace Cerignola?
The Serie C Group C match finished Cavese 2:0 Audace Cerignola. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cavese vs Audace Cerignola?
Cavese score 0.93 goals per game on average and Audace Cerignola 1.21. The Serie C Group C average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Cavese's matches and 46% of Audace Cerignola's.
What form are Cavese and Audace Cerignola in?
Over the last 5 games Cavese have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Audace Cerignola 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cavese vs Audace Cerignola?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cavese vs Audace Cerignola: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.