Cavese vs Casertana: match statistics
Cavese vs Casertana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cavese play Casertana in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Cavese: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Casertana: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cavese scores 0.95 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Casertana scores 1.45 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cavese 42%, Casertana 53%. Over 2.5: Cavese 32%, Casertana 47%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Cavese has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.33. Cavese: 10.6 shots per match, Casertana: 10.2.
Match halves
Cavese: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.61. Casertana: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Cavese: 61-75 (11 goals). Casertana: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Casertana appears to be the favorite based on league position and season output: they sit 5th versus Cavese’s 13th, have 17 wins compared to 8 and have scored 49 goals against 32. Recent form over the last 5 matches clearly favors the visitors — Casertana has 4 wins and 1 draw (average 2.6 points per match), while Cavese recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 points per match). In attack Casertana registers more shots on target (avg. 4.18 vs 3.59) and a higher conversion rate (12% vs 10%), although xG shows the hosts create a comparable quality of chances (xG 1.4 for Cavese vs xG 1.3 for Casertana away). The home defense, however, gives Cavese real chances — they concede only 0.82 goals per home match and have 41% clean sheets, while Casertana concedes 1.29 goals away and has 35% clean sheets, which reduces the visitors’ advantage. Considering the superiority in points, goals (49 vs 32) and form (2.6 vs 1.6 pts/match), but also Cavese’s defensive stability, I forecast a Casertana win with assessed probabilities: 60% for the visitors, 25% draw and 15% for the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cavese | Casertana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Casertana is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Cavese · 2 pts / match - Casertana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Casertana is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Cavese · 1.45 goals / match - Casertana
Cavese is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Cavese · 1.16 goals / match - Casertana
Cavese scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
Casertana scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Cavese keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cavese
Over / Under — Casertana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Casertana is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Cavese · 1.58 pts / match - Casertana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cavese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Casertana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cavese
Casertana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Cavese | Liga | Casertana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.05 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 46% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cavese 0 - 0 - 1 Casertana. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cavese vs Casertana?
The Serie C Group C match finished Cavese 0:1 Casertana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cavese vs Casertana?
Cavese score 0.95 goals per game on average and Casertana 1.45. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Cavese's matches and 53% of Casertana's.
What form are Cavese and Casertana in?
Over the last 5 games Cavese have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Casertana 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cavese vs Casertana?
The statistical background for Cavese vs Casertana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.