Italy - Serie C Group CStadio Comunale Simonetta LambertiData current as of 11 November 2026

Cavese vs Crotone: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cavese vs Crotone: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cavese play Crotone in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 15 November 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti.

Current form

Cavese: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Crotone: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cavese scores 1.77 and concedes 1.69 goals per match. Crotone scores 0.92 and concedes 1.62. League average: 2.74 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cavese 69%, Crotone 54%. Over 2.5: Cavese 62%, Crotone 46%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Crotone has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.61. Cavese: 12.6 shots per match, Crotone: 16.5.

Match halves

Cavese: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.23. Crotone: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.31.

Goals by minute

Cavese: 61-75 (6 goals). Crotone: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.97)
(3.40)
(3.45)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.77Goals scored / match0.92
CaveseCrotone
1.69Goals conceded / match1.62
CaveseCrotone
52%Average possession54%
CaveseCrotone
4.62Shots on target / match5.23
CaveseCrotone

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.62Shots per match16.54
CaveseCrotone
4.62Shots on target5.23
CaveseCrotone
14%Shot conversion5.6%
CaveseCrotone
52%Possession54%
CaveseCrotone
1.61xG for1.89
CaveseCrotone
1.31xG against1.33
CaveseCrotone

Shooting quality

Cavese: Efficient finishingCrotone: Attacking
CaveseCrotone
Accuracy (shots on target)37%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cavese is 400% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Cavese · 0.2 pts / match - Crotone

Cavese
DWLLD
Season result split
31% W31% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-5
1.23 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Crotone
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
8% W31% D62% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-8
0.54 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-3
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DDLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 2.11Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cavese is 92% better for: goals scored per match.

1.77 goals / match - Cavese · 0.92 goals / match - Crotone

Cavese scoring profile: very strong

Cavese scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Crotone keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).

Crotone scoring profile: strong

Crotone scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Cavese keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).

23Goals scored (season)12
CaveseCrotone
22Goals conceded (season)21
CaveseCrotone
3.46Average goals in match2.54
CaveseCrotone
9Goals scored (last 5)4
CaveseCrotone
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
CaveseCrotone

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal54%
CaveseCrotone
54%2 goals38%
CaveseCrotone
23%3 goals0%
CaveseCrotone
15%4 goals0%
CaveseCrotone

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal92%
CaveseCrotone
54%2 goals46%
CaveseCrotone
23%3 goals15%
CaveseCrotone
8%4 goals8%
CaveseCrotone

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time23%
CaveseCrotone
8%BTTS in both halves0%
CaveseCrotone
38%Scored in both halves8%
CaveseCrotone

BTTS and goal count

54%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
CaveseCrotone
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CaveseCrotone
80%BTTS - last 540%
CaveseCrotone

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

85%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
CaveseCrotone
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
CaveseCrotone
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
CaveseCrotone

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
CaveseCrotone
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
CaveseCrotone
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
CaveseCrotone

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Crotone is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.08 pts / match - Cavese · 1.31 pts / match - Crotone

Cavese - half-time state
23% leading38% draw38% trailing
Crotone - half-time state
31% leading38% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per match (1st half)1.31
CaveseCrotone
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.62
CaveseCrotone
0.92Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
CaveseCrotone
1.46Average goals (1st half)1.23
CaveseCrotone
38%Clean sheet before half-time54%
CaveseCrotone
54%No goal before half-time62%
CaveseCrotone

After half-time (2nd half)

1.92Points per match (2nd half)0.85
CaveseCrotone
1.23Goals scored (2nd half)0.31
CaveseCrotone
0.77Goals conceded (2nd half)1
CaveseCrotone
2Average goals (2nd half)1.31
CaveseCrotone
46%Clean sheet after half-time46%
CaveseCrotone
31%No goal after half-time77%
CaveseCrotone

Cavese - second-half results

54% W31% D15% L
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Crotone - second-half results

15% W38% D46% L
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding26%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cavese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match1.20.4
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Crotone - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cavese
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
5
3
16-30
2
8
31-45
5
2
46-60
6
3
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Crotone
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
1
4
16-30
3
4
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
8
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cavese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Crotone

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.97
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

CaveseLigaCrotone
Average goals in match▲ 3.462.74▼ 2.54
Both teams scored▲ 69%53%• 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 62%50%▼ 46%
Clean sheets▼ 15%28%▼ 8%
Goal before half-time▲ 85%72%▼ 62%
Goal after half-time▲ 85%72%▼ 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.74
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Cavese 1 - 0 - 1 Crotone. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Crotone
2 : 0
Cavese
Cavese
1 : 0
Crotone

FAQ

When do Cavese and Crotone play?

Cavese face Crotone on 15 November 2026 in Serie C Group C at Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cavese and Crotone?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cavese won 1, Crotone won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cavese vs Crotone?

Cavese score 1.77 goals per game on average and Crotone 0.92. The Serie C Group C average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Cavese's matches and 54% of Crotone's.

What form are Cavese and Crotone in?

Over the last 5 games Cavese have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Crotone 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cavese vs Crotone?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.