Cavese vs Picerno: match statistics
Cavese show solid home form with a balanced record of 33% wins, draws, and losses at their stadium, indicating evenly matched performances in front of their home crowd. A key asset for the hosts is their positive goal difference in home matches (+2) and higher xG values (1.41 vs 1.24), pointing to an offensive edge. Picerno perform significantly worse in away matches, recording as many as 53% defeats and a negative goal difference (-10), with only a 27% away win rate. The visitors concede an average of 1.8 goals per away match, which, combined with their low clean sheet rate (13%), represents a significant weakness. Although both teams have a similar points tally in their last five matches, Cavese's home advantage and Picerno's away struggles favor a home win, though the balanced nature of both sides means a draw is also a realistic scenario.
Cavese vs Picerno: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cavese played Picerno in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Cavese: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Picerno: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cavese scores 0.93 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Picerno scores 1.17 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cavese 40%, Picerno 63%. Over 2.5: Cavese 37%, Picerno 57%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Cavese has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.17. Cavese: 10.5 shots per match, Picerno: 9.2.
Match halves
Cavese: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.60. Picerno: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Cavese: 61-75 (8 goals). Picerno: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cavese show solid home form with a balanced record of 33% wins, draws, and losses at their stadium, indicating evenly matched performances in front of their home crowd. A key asset for the hosts is their positive goal difference in home matches (+2) and higher xG values (1.41 vs 1.24), pointing to an offensive edge. Picerno perform significantly worse in away matches, recording as many as 53% defeats and a negative goal difference (-10), with only a 27% away win rate. The visitors concede an average of 1.8 goals per away match, which, combined with their low clean sheet rate (13%), represents a significant weakness. Although both teams have a similar points tally in their last five matches, Cavese's home advantage and Picerno's away struggles favor a home win, though the balanced nature of both sides means a draw is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cavese | Picerno | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Picerno is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Cavese · 1.6 pts / match - Picerno
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Picerno is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Cavese · 1.17 goals / match - Picerno
Cavese is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Cavese · 1.53 goals / match - Picerno
Cavese scores in 60% of matches (18 of 30 matches), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Picerno scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Cavese keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cavese
Over / Under - Picerno
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Picerno is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Cavese · 1.5 pts / match - Picerno
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cavese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Picerno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cavese
Picerno
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Cavese | Liga | Picerno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 46% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 66% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cavese 0 - 1 - 0 Picerno. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cavese vs Picerno?
The Serie C Group C match finished Cavese 2:0 Picerno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cavese vs Picerno?
Cavese score 0.93 goals per game on average and Picerno 1.17. The Serie C Group C average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Cavese's matches and 63% of Picerno's.
What form are Cavese and Picerno in?
Over the last 5 games Cavese have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Picerno 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cavese vs Picerno?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cavese vs Picerno: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.