Cavese vs Sorrento Calcio: match statistics
Cavese vs Sorrento Calcio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cavese played Sorrento Calcio in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 15 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Cavese: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match. Sorrento Calcio: 4-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cavese scores 1.00 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Sorrento Calcio scores 1.50 and concedes 0.25. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cavese 50%, Sorrento Calcio 25%. Over 2.5: Cavese 50%, Sorrento Calcio 25%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Cavese has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.28. Cavese: 14.3 shots per match, Sorrento Calcio: 11.3.
Match halves
Cavese: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Sorrento Calcio: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Cavese: 61-75 (2 goals). Sorrento Calcio: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sorrento Calcio remain unbeaten this season, winning all 3 of their matches, while their last five games have produced 4 wins and a draw, with a 6:1 goal difference. Cavese have a clearly weaker recent trend: they have scored 5 goals but conceded as many as 8 in their last five appearances, recording just 1 win. The hosts are nevertheless very dangerous at home, having won their only match there so far, scored 3 goals and created chances worth an average of 2.17 xG from 17 shots per game. The visitors’ advantage is primarily down to their defensive organisation, as they concede just 0.5 goals per away match on average and keep a clean sheet in half of those fixtures. Cavese should create chances, but Sorrento’s stability and significantly better recent record point towards a narrow away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Sorrento have shown a very solid defensive record, conceding just 0.2 goals per game across their last 5 matches and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of their appearances so far. Cavese have struggled to create chances, with an average home xG of just 0.55, while managing only 4 shots and 1 shot on target per match. Although Cavese have conceded an average of 1.6 goals over their last five games, which supports the possibility of a goal for the visitors, Sorrento recorded BTTS in only 20% of their last 5 matches. The hosts have yet to play a home match featuring BTTS, while the league averages 56% of such games. Therefore, both teams’ data point to a higher risk of Cavese failing to score. The BTTS - No pick is therefore not primarily based on a goalless draw, but rather on the likelihood of a Sorrento win to nil.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Recent form points to a moderate goal total: Cavese have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last five matches, while Sorrento have scored 1.2 goals and allowed just 0.2 per game. Sorrento are clearly more active in the season data, averaging 13 shots and 4 on target compared with Cavese’s 4 and 1, respectively, so the visitors should contribute more to the projected 2.15 goals. At the same time, only 20% of Sorrento’s last five matches and 40% of Cavese’s games have gone Over 2.5 goals. All season matches played by both teams so far have finished Under 3.5 goals, further supporting protection against a high-scoring game. The strongest signal is therefore Under 3.5 goals, as even if Sorrento score, the visitors’ solid recent defense limits the likelihood of four goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Sorrento win at full-time, as the visitors were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Cavese were trailing at that stage in 3 of 5. Sorrento are showing clearly stronger current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and remain unbeaten, whereas Cavese have recorded just 1 win and suffered 2 defeats. The visitors also hold a clear advantage in chance creation, with an average xG of 1.39 compared with Cavese’s 0.55, as well as 13 shots per match compared with 4 for the hosts. After the break, Cavese have conceded an average of 1.0 goals across their last five appearances, while Sorrento have not conceded in any second half, supporting a match outcome in the visitors’ favour after an even start.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cavese | Sorrento Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sorrento Calcio is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1.25 pts / match - Cavese · 3 pts / match - Sorrento Calcio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sorrento Calcio is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Cavese · 1.5 goals / match - Sorrento Calcio
Sorrento Calcio is 400% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Cavese · 0.25 goals / match - Sorrento Calcio
Cavese scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Sorrento Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).
Sorrento Calcio scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Cavese keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cavese
Over / Under - Sorrento Calcio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sorrento Calcio is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Cavese · 2 pts / match - Sorrento Calcio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cavese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sorrento Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 100% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cavese
Sorrento Calcio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Cavese | Liga | Sorrento Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 3.14 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Cavese 1 - 1 - 0 Sorrento Calcio. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cavese vs Sorrento Calcio?
The Serie C Group C match finished Cavese 2:3 Sorrento Calcio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cavese and Sorrento Calcio?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cavese won 1, Sorrento Calcio won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cavese vs Sorrento Calcio?
Cavese score 1.00 goals per game on average and Sorrento Calcio 1.50. The Serie C Group C average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Cavese's matches and 25% of Sorrento Calcio's.
What form are Cavese and Sorrento Calcio in?
Over the last 5 games Cavese have a 1-2-1 record (1.25 points per game) and Sorrento Calcio 4-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cavese vs Sorrento Calcio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cavese vs Sorrento Calcio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.