CD El Nacional vs 22 de Julio: match statistics
CD El Nacional vs 22 de Julio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD El Nacional play 22 de Julio in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match date is 6 May 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
CD El Nacional: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. 22 de Julio: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD El Nacional scores 0.59 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. 22 de Julio scores 0.53 and concedes 1.29. League average: 1.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD El Nacional 59%, 22 de Julio 18%. Over 2.5: CD El Nacional 47%, 22 de Julio 24%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
CD El Nacional has higher xG: 1.32 vs 0.94. CD El Nacional: 9.8 shots per match, 22 de Julio: 4.3.
Match halves
CD El Nacional: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.35. 22 de Julio: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.12.
Goals by minute
CD El Nacional: 76-90+ (3 goals). 22 de Julio: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.92 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I predict a home win (1): CD El Nacional averages 1.4 xG at home versus 0.95 xG generated by 22 de Julio away, indicating a clear advantage in chance quality. The hosts attempt more shots (avg. 10.75 vs 9.00) and register more shots on target (3.75 vs 2.67) and higher possession (50% vs 38%), translating into greater control and chance creation. Defensively CD El Nacional concedes 1.5 goals per home match on average, while 22 de Julio concedes 2.67 goals away and has a 100% loss rate in away matches this season, further favoring the hosts. The visitors’ attack is also weak numerically — only 0.67 goals per away match and 67% of away games without scoring, compared to just 0.75 goals for the hosts and 25% of home matches without a goal. Considering both teams have an identical 0.8 points per game in the last 5 matches, but the hosts display higher xG, more shots on target and better defensive metrics, I assess the probabilities as: home 60%, draw 25%, away 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD El Nacional | 22 de Julio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.16 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
22 de Julio is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - CD El Nacional · 0.6 pts / match - 22 de Julio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD El Nacional is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
0.59 goals / match - CD El Nacional · 0.53 goals / match - 22 de Julio
22 de Julio is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - CD El Nacional · 1.29 goals / match - 22 de Julio
CD El Nacional scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while 22 de Julio keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
22 de Julio scores in 35% of matches (6 of 17 matches), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CD El Nacional
Over / Under — 22 de Julio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
22 de Julio is 113% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.47 pts / match - CD El Nacional · 1 pts / match - 22 de Julio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD El Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
22 de Julio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD El Nacional
22 de Julio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| CD El Nacional | Liga | 22 de Julio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.29 | 1.92 | • 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 39% | ▼ 18% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 33% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 39% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 57% | ▼ 41% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 60% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of CD El Nacional vs 22 de Julio?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished CD El Nacional 1:1 22 de Julio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD El Nacional vs 22 de Julio?
CD El Nacional score 0.59 goals per game on average and 22 de Julio 0.53. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 59% of CD El Nacional's matches and 18% of 22 de Julio's.
What form are CD El Nacional and 22 de Julio in?
Over the last 5 games CD El Nacional have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and 22 de Julio 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD El Nacional vs 22 de Julio?
The statistical background for CD El Nacional vs 22 de Julio — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.