CD El Nacional vs Cumbayá: match statistics
CD El Nacional vs Cumbayá: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD El Nacional play Cumbayá in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match date is 9 July 2026 at 02:00. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
CD El Nacional: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Cumbayá: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD El Nacional scores 0.59 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Cumbayá scores 1.06 and concedes 0.89. League average: 1.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD El Nacional 59%, Cumbayá 44%. Over 2.5: CD El Nacional 47%, Cumbayá 39%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
CD El Nacional has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.14. CD El Nacional: 9.8 shots per match, Cumbayá: 7.2.
Match halves
CD El Nacional: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.35. Cumbayá: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
CD El Nacional: 76-90+ (3 goals). Cumbayá: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.92 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
CD El Nacional at home has 0 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses this season, averaging 0.57 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per match; additionally, in the last 5 matches they have scored only 2 and conceded 12, which yields 0.2 points per match over that period. The hosts generate a high volume of shots — 13.43 per match and 4.71 on target — but their conversion rate is only 4%, while home xG is 1.64, indicating significant chance wastage. Cumbayá this season have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses; away they average 0.86 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, and in the last 5 matches they have scored 6 and conceded 2, averaging 1.6 points per match. The visitors attempt fewer shots (6.83 with 3.5 on target), but their conversion rate is 12% with xG 1.1, which combined with superior defense (2 conceded in 5 matches vs 12 for the hosts) gives them a clear advantage; therefore I forecast an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD El Nacional | Cumbayá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.16 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cumbayá is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - CD El Nacional · 1.6 pts / match - Cumbayá
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cumbayá is 80% better for: goals scored per match.
0.59 goals / match - CD El Nacional · 1.06 goals / match - Cumbayá
Cumbayá is 92% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - CD El Nacional · 0.89 goals / match - Cumbayá
CD El Nacional scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Cumbayá keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
Cumbayá scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CD El Nacional
Over / Under — Cumbayá
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cumbayá is 232% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.47 pts / match - CD El Nacional · 1.56 pts / match - Cumbayá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD El Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cumbayá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD El Nacional
Cumbayá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| CD El Nacional | Liga | Cumbayá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.29 | 1.92 | • 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 39% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 33% | ▲ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 39% | • 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 57% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD El Nacional 0 - 0 - 1 Cumbayá. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished CD El Nacional 0:1 Cumbayá. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
CD El Nacional score 0.59 goals per game on average and Cumbayá 1.06. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 59% of CD El Nacional's matches and 44% of Cumbayá's.
What form are CD El Nacional and Cumbayá in?
Over the last 5 games CD El Nacional have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Cumbayá 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.