CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: match statistics
CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD El Nacional played Deportivo Cuenca Juniors in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
CD El Nacional: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD El Nacional scores 0.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors scores 0.50 and concedes 0.00. League average: 2.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD El Nacional 50%, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0%. Over 2.5: CD El Nacional 50%, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors has higher xG: 1.11 vs 1.07. CD El Nacional: 8.0 shots per match, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: 10.5.
Match halves
CD El Nacional: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
CD El Nacional: 76-90+ (1 goals). Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 2.13 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2): Deportivo Cuenca Juniors hold a clear advantage in key metrics. Away, the visitors average 12 shots and 3 on target per match versus CD El Nacional’s 6 shots and 1 on target, with the visitors’ shot conversion around 8% compared to 0% for the hosts, translating to an average of 1.0 goals per away match vs 0.0 goals at home for El Nacional (FTS 100%). Defensively the edge is with the visitors: Deportivo Cuenca Juniors concede 0.0 goals on average away and keep 100% clean sheets, while the hosts concede 1.0 goals at home on average and have shipped 11 goals in their last 5 matches. The quality gap is also visible in xG — hosts have average xG for 0.81 and xG against 1.84 at home — and in recent form points: 1.6 points per match for the visitors in the last 5 games vs 0.6 for the hosts; therefore I assess chances at 70% for the visitors, 20% for a draw and 10% for a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonally both teams have BTTS at 0% and the home team has 100% clean sheets, while the league records only 33% BTTS and 75% clean sheets, which strongly weighs against BTTS in this match. However, in the last 5 fixtures the home side has conceded 11 goals (2.2 per match) and has xG against of 2.14, whereas the visitors have average offensive xG of 1.5 over the last 5, indicating realistic chances for the away side to score. Both teams scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches (0.8 per match) and each has 40% BTTS in the last 5, so BTTS signals are moderate rather than strong. Overall I weigh the dominant influence of season and league metrics against BTTS and tip 'No' with 70% probability versus 30% for 'BTTS - Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and form analysis from the last 5 matches yields combined expected goals of approximately 2.93: 1.11 for CD El Nacional and 1.82 for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors (calculated as (1.23+0.98)/2 and (1.50+2.14)/2). The hosts generate on average 1.23 xG but concede 2.14 xG and have scored 4 goals in the last 5 (avg. 0.8), while the visitors have 1.50 xG, 0.98 xG against and also 4 goals in the last 5. Seasonal indicators are contradictory — both teams have seasonUnder15Percentage 100% with the league average at 2.33 goals per match — therefore I give greater weight to the last 5 matches and xG. As a result the strongest signal is the Over line at 1.5: the projected 2.93 goals gives a high probability for Over 1.5 (I estimate 90%) and a moderate edge for Over 2.5 (approx. 68%). Over 3.5 is less likely (approx. 26%), so I recommend playing Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half data clearly favor the visitors: they lead at the break in 100% of their matches and average 1.0 goals by half-time, while the hosts have 0.0 goals at the break. This season the away team averages 3.0 points per match with a 100% win rate, whereas the hosts have a 0.0% win rate and 100% draws, supporting a final advantage for the visitors. The hosts have a higher xG (1.11 vs 0.0) but average 9 shots to the visitors' 12, with 3 on target for both sides; the hosts’ conversion rate is 0% versus the visitors’ 8%, so they create chances but fail to convert them. In the last five matches the hosts averaged 0.2 first-half goals compared to 0.6 for the visitors, and the win rate over the last five is 20% for the hosts and 40% for the visitors, which further reinforces the scenario of the visitors leading at half-time and winning on Full-Time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD El Nacional | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD El Nacional scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Deportivo Cuenca Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 matches).
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD El Nacional
Over / Under - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - CD El Nacional · 2 pts / match - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD El Nacional - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD El Nacional
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| CD El Nacional | Liga | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.13 | ▼ 0.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 40% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 60% | ▼ 0% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished CD El Nacional 1:2 Deportivo Cuenca Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors?
CD El Nacional score 0.50 goals per game on average and Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0.50. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 50% of CD El Nacional's matches and 0% of Deportivo Cuenca Juniors's.
What form are CD El Nacional and Deportivo Cuenca Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games CD El Nacional have a 0-0-2 record (0.00 points per game) and Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors?
The statistical background for CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.