CD Eldense vs SD Eibar: match statistics

SD Eibar sit 2nd, having won 4 of their 5 matches this season with a 10:3 goal difference, while CD Eldense are 16th with just 1 win and a 3:6 record. The visitors are highly efficient: they average 2.5 goals scored away from home, convert 31% of their shots, and have yet to concede there. Eldense have drawn both of their home matches so far, average 1 goal scored, and have failed to find the net in 50% of their home appearances. The hosts have a slightly higher average xG, 1.24 compared with Eibar’s 0.94, but the visitors are far more effective at converting their chances into goals and have won their last four matches. The advantage in current form, efficiency, and defensive solidity points to an away win for Eibar.

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as Eibar have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their away matches so far, while Eldense have failed to score in any of them. The hosts have averaged just 0.6 goals per game over their last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in only 20% of those fixtures. Eibar are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game. The overall competition profile also supports a scenario in which at least one team fails to score: BTTS occurs in only 38% of matches, while clean sheets are recorded in 75%. Although Eldense create chances worth an average of 1.55 xG at home, the visitors' highly solid defence and the hosts' poor current finishing efficiency clearly strengthen the No Goal pick for one of the teams.

Eldense have scored only 0.6 goals per match over their last 5 fixtures, while Eibar have conceded just 0.6 goals during the same period, clearly limiting the hosts’ attacking potential. Both teams recorded a BTTS result in only 20% of their last five matches, so a high-scoring game with both sides trading blows lacks strong statistical support. Eibar are in good form and average 2.0 goals across their last 5 appearances, but their average xG stands at 1.30, while Eldense allow opponents 1.38 xG. Across the league, the average is just 2.33 goals per match, and the 3.5 line has been exceeded in 33% of Eldense’s and 50% of Eibar’s matches so far. The strongest pick is therefore Under 3.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.25 goals leaves a clear margin even for a 2:1 or 0:2 result.

Eibar are in clearly better form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding just 0.6, while Eldense have recorded only one win and average just 0.6 goals per game. The visitors’ advantage is already evident before the break, as they have scored an average of 1.4 first-half goals in their last five matches, whereas Eldense have failed to score before half-time in any of those games. Eibar have kept a clean sheet at half-time in 80% of their recent matches and have allowed opponents an average of only 0.2 goals in second halves. Eldense have been level at half-time in 80% of the matches in this run, but their poor attacking efficiency, combined with Eibar’s four consecutive wins after their initial defeat, strengthens the scenario in which the visitors take the lead at the break and maintain it until full-time — an HT/FT 2/2 outcome.