CD Mafra vs Caldas: match statistics
CD Mafra displays superior home form, boasting a 71% win rate on their own turf and an impressive +8 goal difference. The hosts have won four of their last five home fixtures, averaging 1.57 goals per game while conceding a mere 0.43. Conversely, Caldas is in a deep crisis, suffering five consecutive defeats with zero points collected in their last five matches overall, scoring just a single goal in that span. The visitors struggle for efficiency on the road (43% of matches without scoring), averaging only 0.71 goals per away game. xG figures further support the hosts (1.35 vs 1.05), pointing to a distinct advantage for CD Mafra given current form. Considering all data points, a home victory stands out as the most likely outcome.
CD Mafra vs Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Mafra played Caldas in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
CD Mafra: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Caldas: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Mafra scores 1.50 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Caldas scores 0.93 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Mafra 64%, Caldas 43%. Over 2.5: CD Mafra 43%, Caldas 36%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
CD Mafra has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.21. CD Mafra: 9.3 shots per match, Caldas: 8.9.
Match halves
CD Mafra: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86. Caldas: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
CD Mafra: 76-90+ (5 goals). Caldas: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.11 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CD Mafra displays superior home form, boasting a 71% win rate on their own turf and an impressive +8 goal difference. The hosts have won four of their last five home fixtures, averaging 1.57 goals per game while conceding a mere 0.43. Conversely, Caldas is in a deep crisis, suffering five consecutive defeats with zero points collected in their last five matches overall, scoring just a single goal in that span. The visitors struggle for efficiency on the road (43% of matches without scoring), averaging only 0.71 goals per away game. xG figures further support the hosts (1.35 vs 1.05), pointing to a distinct advantage for CD Mafra given current form. Considering all data points, a home victory stands out as the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Mafra | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Mafra is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - CD Mafra · 0.93 goals / match - Caldas
CD Mafra is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - CD Mafra · 1.14 goals / match - Caldas
CD Mafra scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Caldas scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while CD Mafra keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Mafra
Over / Under - Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Mafra is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - CD Mafra · 0.93 pts / match - Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Mafra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Mafra
Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| CD Mafra | Liga | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.57 | 2.11 | • 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 45% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 43% | 34% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD Mafra 0 - 1 - 0 Caldas. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Mafra vs Caldas?
The Liga 3 match finished CD Mafra 4:2 Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Mafra vs Caldas?
CD Mafra score 1.50 goals per game on average and Caldas 0.93. The Liga 3 average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 64% of CD Mafra's matches and 43% of Caldas's.
What form are CD Mafra and Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games CD Mafra have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Caldas 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Mafra vs Caldas?
The statistical background for CD Mafra vs Caldas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.