CD Mafra vs União Santarém: match statistics
CD Mafra demonstrates impressive home form with a 75% win rate and a goal difference of +10, making them the clear favorite for this encounter. The hosts remain undefeated at home this season and have kept a clean sheet in half of their matches at their own stadium. União Santarém struggles offensively on the road, averaging just 0.88 goals per match and failing to score in 50% of away fixtures. Additionally, Mafra's advantage in xG statistics (1.39 vs 0.89) and average shots on goal (4.88 vs 3.38) confirms their dominance. Considering the hosts' excellent form in the last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and their solid defense, a victory for CD Mafra is the most probable scenario.
CD Mafra vs União Santarém: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Mafra played União Santarém in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 16 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
CD Mafra: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. União Santarém: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Mafra scores 1.63 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. União Santarém scores 0.81 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Mafra 69%, União Santarém 38%. Over 2.5: CD Mafra 44%, União Santarém 19%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
CD Mafra has higher xG: 1.35 vs 0.97. CD Mafra: 9.8 shots per match, União Santarém: 5.9.
Match halves
CD Mafra: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.94. União Santarém: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
CD Mafra: 76-90+ (6 goals). União Santarém: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CD Mafra demonstrates impressive home form with a 75% win rate and a goal difference of +10, making them the clear favorite for this encounter. The hosts remain undefeated at home this season and have kept a clean sheet in half of their matches at their own stadium. União Santarém struggles offensively on the road, averaging just 0.88 goals per match and failing to score in 50% of away fixtures. Additionally, Mafra's advantage in xG statistics (1.39 vs 0.89) and average shots on goal (4.88 vs 3.38) confirms their dominance. Considering the hosts' excellent form in the last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and their solid defense, a victory for CD Mafra is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Mafra | União Santarém | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 55% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CD Mafra is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - CD Mafra · 1.8 pts / match - União Santarém
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Mafra is 101% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - CD Mafra · 0.81 goals / match - União Santarém
União Santarém is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - CD Mafra · 0.81 goals / match - União Santarém
CD Mafra scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while União Santarém keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
União Santarém scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while CD Mafra keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Mafra
Over / Under - União Santarém
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Mafra is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.69 pts / match - CD Mafra · 1.31 pts / match - União Santarém
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Mafra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
União Santarém - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Mafra
União Santarém
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| CD Mafra | Liga | União Santarém | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.19 | ▼ 1.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 36% | ▼ 19% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD Mafra 1 - 0 - 0 União Santarém. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Mafra vs União Santarém?
The Liga 3 match finished CD Mafra 0:0 União Santarém. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Mafra vs União Santarém?
CD Mafra score 1.63 goals per game on average and União Santarém 0.81. The Liga 3 average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 69% of CD Mafra's matches and 38% of União Santarém's.
What form are CD Mafra and União Santarém in?
Over the last 5 games CD Mafra have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and União Santarém 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Mafra vs União Santarém?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.