CD Nacional vs Casa Pia: match statistics
CD Nacional has a clear home advantage, which is confirmed by their 33% win rate at home and a better goal difference in home matches (-1) compared to Casa Pia's away record (-10). The hosts score an average of 1.78 goals per home match, while the visitors concede an average of 2 goals away, highlighting Casa Pia's defensive vulnerability. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.27 vs 1.02), and Casa Pia has failed to score in as many as 40% of their away matches. Both teams' form in their last five matches is average, but Casa Pia has only a 30% win rate away from home compared to 56% losses, making them a difficult opponent for the hosts to overcome. Considering all factors, I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for CD Nacional, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to both teams' low efficiency.
CD Nacional vs Casa Pia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Nacional played Casa Pia in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
CD Nacional: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Casa Pia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Nacional scores 1.35 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Casa Pia scores 1.10 and concedes 1.95. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Nacional 65%, Casa Pia 50%. Over 2.5: CD Nacional 55%, Casa Pia 55%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
CD Nacional has higher xG: 1.29 vs 0.96. CD Nacional: 11.6 shots per match, Casa Pia: 8.4.
Match halves
CD Nacional: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80. Casa Pia: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
CD Nacional: 76-90+ (7 goals). Casa Pia: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CD Nacional has a clear home advantage, which is confirmed by their 33% win rate at home and a better goal difference in home matches (-1) compared to Casa Pia's away record (-10). The hosts score an average of 1.78 goals per home match, while the visitors concede an average of 2 goals away, highlighting Casa Pia's defensive vulnerability. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.27 vs 1.02), and Casa Pia has failed to score in as many as 40% of their away matches. Both teams' form in their last five matches is average, but Casa Pia has only a 30% win rate away from home compared to 56% losses, making them a difficult opponent for the hosts to overcome. Considering all factors, I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for CD Nacional, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to both teams' low efficiency.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Nacional | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Casa Pia is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - CD Nacional · 1 pts / match - Casa Pia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Nacional is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - CD Nacional · 1.1 goals / match - Casa Pia
CD Nacional is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - CD Nacional · 1.95 goals / match - Casa Pia
CD Nacional scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Casa Pia scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Nacional
Over / Under - Casa Pia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Nacional is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - CD Nacional · 1.05 pts / match - Casa Pia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Casa Pia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Nacional
Casa Pia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Nacional | Liga | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.85 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 55% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 30% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD Nacional 1 - 0 - 0 Casa Pia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Nacional vs Casa Pia?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Nacional 0:0 Casa Pia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Nacional vs Casa Pia?
CD Nacional score 1.35 goals per game on average and Casa Pia 1.10. The Liga NOS average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 65% of CD Nacional's matches and 50% of Casa Pia's.
What form are CD Nacional and Casa Pia in?
Over the last 5 games CD Nacional have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Casa Pia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Nacional vs Casa Pia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Nacional vs Casa Pia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.