CD Nacional vs CD Tondela: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

CD Nacional play CD Tondela in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 13 December 2025 at 16:30. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

CD Nacional: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. CD Tondela: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

CD Nacional scores 1.09 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. CD Tondela scores 0.79 and concedes 1.62. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CD Nacional 47%, CD Tondela 35%. Over 2.5: CD Nacional 41%, CD Tondela 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

CD Nacional has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.17. CD Nacional: 12.6 shots per match, CD Tondela: 10.6.

Match halves

CD Nacional: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.65. CD Tondela: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

CD Nacional: 61-75 (8 goals). CD Tondela: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
3 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

44Possession (%)56
CD NacionalCD Tondela
8Shots21
CD NacionalCD Tondela
4Shots on target5
CD NacionalCD Tondela
1.02xG2.04
CD NacionalCD Tondela
3Corners10
CD NacionalCD Tondela
32Dangerous attacks52
CD NacionalCD Tondela
11Fouls17
CD NacionalCD Tondela
7Cards8
CD NacionalCD Tondela

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CD NacionalCD Tondela
1.09Goals scored / match0.79
CD NacionalCD Tondela
1.32Goals conceded / match1.62
CD NacionalCD Tondela
46%Average possession44%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
4.21Shots on target / match3.41
CD NacionalCD Tondela

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.59Shots per match10.59
CD NacionalCD Tondela
4.21Shots on target3.41
CD NacionalCD Tondela
8.6%Shot conversion7.5%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
46%Possession44%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
1.37xG for1.17
CD NacionalCD Tondela
1.57xG against1.55
CD NacionalCD Tondela

Shooting quality

CD Nacional: BalancedCD Tondela: Balanced
CD NacionalCD Tondela
Accuracy (shots on target)33%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

CD Nacional is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - CD Nacional · 1.4 pts / match - CD Tondela

CD Nacional
WWLLW
Season result split
26% W21% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-18
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-9
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
CD Tondela
LDWWL
Season result split
18% W29% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-10-18
0.82 pts / match · goal difference -28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-10
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CD Nacional is 38% better for: goals scored per match.

1.09 goals / match - CD Nacional · 0.79 goals / match - CD Tondela

CD Nacional is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.32 goals / match - CD Nacional · 1.62 goals / match - CD Tondela

CD Nacional scoring profile: very strong

CD Nacional scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while CD Tondela keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).

CD Tondela scoring profile: mixed

CD Tondela scores in 47% of matches (16 of 34 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

37Goals scored (season)27
CD NacionalCD Tondela
45Goals conceded (season)55
CD NacionalCD Tondela
2.41Average goals in match2.41
CD NacionalCD Tondela
6Goals scored (last 5)6
CD NacionalCD Tondela
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
CD NacionalCD Tondela

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal47%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
26%2 goals29%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
12%3 goals3%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
3%4 goals0%
CD NacionalCD Tondela

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal79%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
44%2 goals53%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
9%3 goals24%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
3%4 goals3%
CD NacionalCD Tondela

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time15%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
6%BTTS in both halves9%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
12%Scored in both halves18%
CD NacionalCD Tondela

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
20%BTTS - last 540%
CD NacionalCD Tondela

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
CD NacionalCD Tondela

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
CD NacionalCD Tondela

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CD Nacional is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - CD Nacional · 0.91 pts / match - CD Tondela

CD Nacional - half-time state
24% leading47% draw29% trailing
CD Tondela - half-time state
12% leading56% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)0.91
CD NacionalCD Tondela
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.29
CD NacionalCD Tondela
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
CD NacionalCD Tondela
0.97Average goals (1st half)0.94
CD NacionalCD Tondela
59%Clean sheet before half-time53%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
65%No goal before half-time76%
CD NacionalCD Tondela

After half-time (2nd half)

1.12Points per match (2nd half)0.94
CD NacionalCD Tondela
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
CD NacionalCD Tondela
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.97
CD NacionalCD Tondela
1.44Average goals (2nd half)1.47
CD NacionalCD Tondela
47%Clean sheet after half-time35%
CD NacionalCD Tondela
56%No goal after half-time59%
CD NacionalCD Tondela

CD Nacional - second-half results

26% W32% R41% P
40
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding108%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CD Tondela - second-half results

21% W32% R47% P
31
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-16
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CD Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
CD Tondela - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

CD Nacional
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
4
3
16-30
7
7
31-45
6
7
46-60
8
8
61-75
8
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

CD Tondela
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
2
9
16-30
2
9
31-45
6
6
46-60
6
12
61-75
5
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.41
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

CD Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

CD Tondela

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.58
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).

Teams vs league

CD NacionalLigaCD Tondela
Average goals in match 2.412.68 2.41
Both teams scored 47%48% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%54% 50%
Clean sheets 24%29% 21%
Goal before half-time 65%69% 56%
Goal after half-time 74%80% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: CD Nacional 1 - 0 - 0 CD Tondela. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of CD Nacional vs CD Tondela?

The Liga NOS match finished CD Nacional 3:1 CD Tondela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before CD Nacional vs CD Tondela?

CD Nacional score 1.09 goals per game on average and CD Tondela 0.79. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 47% of CD Nacional's matches and 35% of CD Tondela's.

What form are CD Nacional and CD Tondela in?

Over the last 5 games CD Nacional have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and CD Tondela 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Nacional vs CD Tondela?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Nacional vs CD Tondela: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.