CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia: match statistics
GD Estoril Praia has a clear advantage in this clash, which is confirmed by key statistics. The hosts, CD Nacional, present a dismal form with just 0.4 points per game in their last five matches, failing to win any of them, while the visitors average 1 point per game. Nacional occupies a distant 15th position in the table with a 58% home loss rate, whereas Estoril sits in 8th place. The visitors' superiority is also evident in ball possession (52% vs 47%) and offensive efficiency - Estoril scores an average of 1.67 goals on the road compared to Nacional's 1.42 at home. Although both teams share identical home and away records (25% win rate, 17% draw rate), the current form and league position favor Estoril Praia. Additionally, Nacional's failure to win any of their last five matches leaves them psychologically weakened ahead of this fixture.
CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Nacional played GD Estoril Praia in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
CD Nacional: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. GD Estoril Praia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Nacional scores 1.16 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. GD Estoril Praia scores 1.84 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Nacional 60%, GD Estoril Praia 56%. Over 2.5: CD Nacional 52%, GD Estoril Praia 68%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
GD Estoril Praia has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.35. CD Nacional: 12.4 shots per match, GD Estoril Praia: 12.1.
Match halves
CD Nacional: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.72. GD Estoril Praia: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
CD Nacional: 76-90+ (7 goals). GD Estoril Praia: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
GD Estoril Praia has a clear advantage in this clash, which is confirmed by key statistics. The hosts, CD Nacional, present a dismal form with just 0.4 points per game in their last five matches, failing to win any of them, while the visitors average 1 point per game. Nacional occupies a distant 15th position in the table with a 58% home loss rate, whereas Estoril sits in 8th place. The visitors' superiority is also evident in ball possession (52% vs 47%) and offensive efficiency - Estoril scores an average of 1.67 goals on the road compared to Nacional's 1.42 at home. Although both teams share identical home and away records (25% win rate, 17% draw rate), the current form and league position favor Estoril Praia. Additionally, Nacional's failure to win any of their last five matches leaves them psychologically weakened ahead of this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Nacional | GD Estoril Praia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
GD Estoril Praia is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - CD Nacional · 1 pts / match - GD Estoril Praia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
GD Estoril Praia is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - CD Nacional · 1.84 goals / match - GD Estoril Praia
CD Nacional is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - CD Nacional · 1.68 goals / match - GD Estoril Praia
CD Nacional scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while GD Estoril Praia keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
GD Estoril Praia scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Nacional
Over / Under - GD Estoril Praia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
GD Estoril Praia is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - CD Nacional · 1.28 pts / match - GD Estoril Praia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
GD Estoril Praia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Nacional
GD Estoril Praia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Nacional | Liga | GD Estoril Praia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.64 | 2.73 | ▲ 3.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 30% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 71% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD Nacional 0 - 1 - 0 GD Estoril Praia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Nacional 0:1 GD Estoril Praia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia?
CD Nacional score 1.16 goals per game on average and GD Estoril Praia 1.84. The Liga NOS average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 60% of CD Nacional's matches and 56% of GD Estoril Praia's.
What form are CD Nacional and GD Estoril Praia in?
Over the last 5 games CD Nacional have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and GD Estoril Praia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.